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Eredivisie
Referee: Jochem Kamphuis
VVV Venlo
S T U U S
3–0
Full-time
NAC Breda
T S T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

VVV Venlo NAC Breda
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,3
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
17%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
1,7
3,8
Scored
0,8
1,3
Conceded
0,8
2,5
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-1,2
This season — Eredivisie · 5/5 matches
Win Ø 30%
40%
20%
Points per game
1,6
0,6
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
20%
80%
Both score Ø 50%
60%
40%
Average goals
1,8
4,2
Scored
1,0
1,4
Conceded
0,8
2,8
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-1,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

36% Possession 64%
14 Shots 6
5 Shots on target 1
2 Blocked shots 3
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
3 Corners 2
1 Offside 2
9 Free kicks against 16
0 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match VVV Venlo 6. · NAC Breda 18.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 PSV Eindhoven 5 5 0 0 +18 15
2 Ajax 5 4 1 0 +13 13
3 Heracles 6 4 1 1 +4 13
4 Feyenoord 5 3 1 1 +5 10
5 AZ Alkmaar 5 2 2 1 +7 8
6 VVV Venlo 5 2 2 1 +1 8
7 Willem II 6 2 2 2 +0 8
8 FC Emmen 5 2 1 2 -6 7
9 For Sittard 6 1 3 2 -2 6
10 Den Haag 5 2 0 3 -6 6
11 Vitesse 4 1 2 1 -2 5
12 Heerenveen 5 1 2 2 -3 5
13 Excelsior 5 1 2 2 -3 5
14 Utrecht 5 1 2 2 -3 5
15 De Graafschap 6 1 1 4 -7 4
16 Groningen 4 1 0 3 -4 3
17 Zwolle 5 1 0 4 -5 3
18 NAC Breda 5 1 0 4 -7 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

VVV Venlo NAC Breda
1–0 J. Opoku
J. Grot
22′
34′
🟨 Fabian Sporkslede
37′
🟨 Arno Verschueren
2–0 T. Sušić
38′
Half-time 2–0
46′
🔁 R. Mühren
↦ L. Ilić
3–0 J. Grot
R. Seuntjens
53′
66′
🔁 G. Kastaneer
↦ Paolo Fernandes
69′
🟨 Gervane Kastaneer
P. Joosten 🔁
↦ J. Grot
77′
78′
🔁 M. Reuvers
↦ G. Nijholt
P. van Ooijen 🔁
↦ T. Sušić
81′
88′
🟨 Arno Verschueren
88′
🟥 Arno Verschueren
M. Samuelsen 🔁
↦ J. Opoku
88′
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

VVV Venlo

4-3-3
1 L. Unnerstall G
3 J. Promes D
4 R. Janssen D
13 N. Röseler D
2 M. Rutten D
6 D. Post M
31 T. Sušić M
10 J. Opoku F
26 P. Mlapa F
9 R. Seuntjens M
11 J. Grot F
Bench (9)
19 P. Joosten
8 P. van Ooijen
7 M. Samuelsen
14 C. Kum
16 D. van Crooij
17 T. Dekker
20 D. van Bruggen
21 A. Borgmann
22 B. Verbong

Coach: M. Steijn

NAC Breda

4-3-3
1 B. van Leer G
4 M. Koch D
2 F. Sporkslede D
14 E. Palmer-Brown D
28 G. Nijholt M
27 A. Kali M
6 A. Verschueren M
40 L. Ilić
17 M. Rosheuvel M
9 M. te Vrede F
10 Paolo Fernandes M
Bench (11)
11 R. Mühren
33 G. Kastaneer
20 M. Reuvers
5 K. Mets
7 G. Korte
8 M. El Allouchi
15 J. Carolina
16 T. Zwarthoed
21 G. Leigh
24 D. Klomp
26 K. Niemczycki

Coach: M. van der Gaag

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Jochem Kamphuis · 95 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
20,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.