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Championship
Referee: Jeremy Simpson
Reading
U U T S T
3–0
Full-time
Hull
S T T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Reading Hull
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,8
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
83%
50%
Average goals
3,0
2,7
Scored
1,3
1,2
Conceded
1,7
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,3
This season — Championship · 8/8 matches
Win Ø 19%
13%
25%
Points per game
0,6
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 57%
63%
50%
Both score Ø 69%
75%
63%
Average goals
2,8
2,8
Scored
1,1
1,1
Conceded
1,6
1,6
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

42% Possession 58%
14 Shots 9
6 Shots on target 2
3 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
4 Corners 4
1 Offside 3
12 Free kicks against 10
1 Yellow cards 2
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Reading 22. · Hull 19.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Middlesbrough 8 5 2 1 +8 17
2 Wigan 9 5 1 3 +3 16
3 Leeds 7 4 3 0 +10 15
4 Brentford 8 4 3 1 +8 15
5 West Brom 8 4 2 2 +8 14
6 Bristol City 9 4 2 3 +3 14
7 Derby 7 4 1 2 +4 13
8 Sheffield United 8 4 1 3 +3 13
9 Aston Villa 8 3 4 1 +2 13
10 Swansea 8 3 3 2 +1 12
11 Nott'm Forest 8 2 5 1 +1 11
12 Norwich 8 3 2 3 -1 11
13 Sheffield Weds 8 3 2 3 -1 11
14 Blackburn 8 2 5 1 -1 11
15 Bolton 8 3 2 3 -3 11
16 QPR 8 3 1 4 -7 10
17 Stoke 8 2 3 3 -3 9
18 Rotherham 8 3 0 5 -7 9
19 Hull 8 2 1 5 -4 7
20 Birmingham 8 0 6 2 -2 6
21 Millwall 8 1 3 4 -4 6
22 Reading 8 1 2 5 -4 5
23 Preston 8 1 2 5 -8 5
24 Ipswich 8 0 4 4 -6 4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Reading Hull
1–0 S. Baldock
4′
33′
🟨 Fraizer Campbell
Half-time 1–0
John O'Shea 🟨
58′
63′
🔁 C. Martin
↦ K. Stewart
63′
🔁 K. Grosicki
↦ J. Bowen
J. Swift 🔁
↦ S. Ezatolahi
68′
M. Barrow 🔁
↦ S. Baldock
69′
2–0 J. Böðvarsson
A. Yiadom
70′
3–0 A. Yiadom
81′
John O'Shea 🟥
83′
C. Gunter 🔁
↦ L. Kelly
85′
90′
🟨 Tommy Elphick
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

Reading

4-3-3
28 S. Walker G
4 J. O'Shea D
6 L. Moore D
20 Tiago Ilori D
7 L. Bacuna M
3 A. Yiadom D
32 S. Ezatolahi M
38 L. Kelly M
19 J. Sims M
9 S. Baldock F
23 J. Böðvarsson F
Bench (7)
10 J. Swift
17 M. Barrow
2 C. Gunter
14 S. Aluko
21 Y. Meïté
29 M. McNulty
31 A. Jaakkola

Coach: P. Clement

Hull

4-4-1-1
1 D. Marshall G
35 T. Elphick D
2 E. Lichaj D
23 S. Kingsley D
17 T. Kane M
5 R. Burke D
22 M. Henriksen M
6 K. Stewart M
16 J. Irvine M
25 F. Campbell F
20 J. Bowen M
Bench (7)
29 C. Martin
14 K. Grosicki
4 J. de Wijs
9 N. Dicko
10 Jon Toral
12 G. Long
27 R. McKenzie

Coach: N. Adkins

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Jeremy Simpson · 104 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
21,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.