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Premier League

Referee: Anthony Taylor

Burnley

U T T T T

4–0

Full-time

Bournemouth

S S U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Burnley Bournemouth

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

67%

Points per game

0,2

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

2,7

3,3

Scored

0,7

2,0

Conceded

2,0

1,3

Goal diff per game

-1,3

+0,7

This season — Premier League · 5/5 matches

Win Ø 30%

60%

Points per game

0,2

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

40%

60%

Both score Ø 50%

40%

60%

Average goals

2,6

3,4

Scored

0,6

2,0

Conceded

2,0

1,4

Goal diff per game

-1,4

+0,6

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

37% Possession 63%

12 Shots 19

5 Shots on target 5

4 Blocked shots 9

5 Goalkeeper saves 1

3 Corners 8

1 Offside 2

17 Free kicks against 6

2 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Burnley 20. · Bournemouth 5. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Chelsea	5	5	0	0	+10	15
2	Liverpool	5	5	0	0	+9	15
3	Man City	5	4	1	0	+11	13
4	Watford	6	4	1	1	+5	13
5	Bournemouth	5	3	1	1	+3	10
6	Tottenham	5	3	0	2	+4	9
7	Arsenal	5	3	0	2	+1	9
8	Man United	5	3	0	2	+0	9
9	Wolves	5	2	2	1	+0	8
10	Everton	5	1	3	1	-1	6
11	Leicester	5	2	0	3	-1	6
12	Crystal Palace	5	2	0	3	-2	6
13	Southampton	5	1	2	2	+0	5
14	Brighton	5	1	2	2	-2	5
15	Fulham	6	1	2	3	-5	5
16	West Ham	5	1	0	4	-6	3
17	Cardiff	5	0	2	3	-6	2
18	Huddersfield	5	0	2	3	-9	2
19	Newcastle	5	0	1	4	-4	1
20	Burnley	5	0	1	4	-7	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Man City	3	3	0	0	+9	9
2	Chelsea	3	3	0	0	+6	9
3	Watford	4	3	0	1	+3	9
4	Bournemouth	3	2	1	0	+4	7
5	Liverpool	2	2	0	0	+5	6
6	Wolves	3	1	2	0	+1	5
7	Brighton	2	1	1	0	+1	4
8	Fulham	3	1	1	1	+0	4
9	Everton	3	1	1	1	-1	4
10	Tottenham	2	1	0	1	+1	3
11	Leicester	2	1	0	1	+1	3
12	Arsenal	2	1	0	1	+0	3
13	Man United	2	1	0	1	-2	3
14	Southampton	3	0	2	1	-1	2
15	Cardiff	2	0	1	1	-1	1
16	Huddersfield	3	0	1	2	-4	1
17	West Ham	2	0	0	2	-2	0
18	Newcastle	3	0	0	3	-3	0
19	Burnley	2	0	0	2	-4	0
20	Crystal Palace	2	0	0	2	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Liverpool	3	3	0	0	+4	9
2	Chelsea	2	2	0	0	+4	6
3	Tottenham	3	2	0	1	+3	6
4	Man United	3	2	0	1	+2	6
5	Crystal Palace	3	2	0	1	+2	6
6	Arsenal	3	2	0	1	+1	6
7	Watford	2	1	1	0	+2	4
8	Man City	2	1	1	0	+2	4
9	Southampton	2	1	0	1	+1	3
10	Bournemouth	2	1	0	1	-1	3
11	Wolves	2	1	0	1	-1	3
12	Leicester	3	1	0	2	-2	3
13	West Ham	3	1	0	2	-4	3
14	Everton	2	0	2	0	+0	2
15	Newcastle	2	0	1	1	-1	1
16	Brighton	3	0	1	2	-3	1
17	Burnley	3	0	1	2	-3	1
18	Fulham	3	0	1	2	-5	1
19	Huddersfield	2	0	1	1	-5	1
20	Cardiff	3	0	1	2	-5	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.