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Premier League
Referee: Kevin Friend
Man United
S T T S S
1–1
Full-time
Wolves
U T U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Man United Wolves
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,0
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,8
2,2
Scored
1,5
0,8
Conceded
1,3
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,5
This season — Premier League · 5/5 matches
Win Ø 50%
60%
40%
Points per game
1,8
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
80%
20%
Both score Ø 50%
60%
40%
Average goals
3,2
2,0
Scored
1,6
1,0
Conceded
1,6
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

64% Possession 36%
15 Shots 11
6 Shots on target 8
6 Blocked shots 0
7 Goalkeeper saves 5
5 Corners 4
3 Offside 2
5 Free kicks against 17
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Man United 8. · Wolves 9.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Chelsea 5 5 0 0 +10 15
2 Liverpool 5 5 0 0 +9 15
3 Man City 5 4 1 0 +11 13
4 Watford 6 4 1 1 +5 13
5 Bournemouth 5 3 1 1 +3 10
6 Tottenham 5 3 0 2 +4 9
7 Arsenal 5 3 0 2 +1 9
8 Man United 5 3 0 2 +0 9
9 Wolves 5 2 2 1 +0 8
10 Everton 5 1 3 1 -1 6
11 Leicester 5 2 0 3 -1 6
12 Crystal Palace 5 2 0 3 -2 6
13 Southampton 5 1 2 2 +0 5
14 Brighton 5 1 2 2 -2 5
15 Fulham 6 1 2 3 -5 5
16 West Ham 5 1 0 4 -6 3
17 Cardiff 5 0 2 3 -6 2
18 Huddersfield 5 0 2 3 -9 2
19 Newcastle 5 0 1 4 -4 1
20 Burnley 5 0 1 4 -7 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Man United Wolves
1–0 Fred
P. Pogba
18′
Luke Shaw 🟨
40′
Half-time 1–1
53′
João Moutinho 1–1
R. Jiménez
61′
🟨 Rúben Neves
Mata 🔁
↦ A. Sánchez
63′
A. Martial 🔁
↦ Fred
63′
Andreas Pereira 🔁
↦ J. Lingard
75′
75′
🔁 Adama Traoré
↦ Hélder Costa
80′
🔁 R. Saïss
↦ João Moutinho
87′
🔁 M. Gibbs-White
↦ Diogo Jota
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Man United

4-3-3
1 David de Gea G
25 A. Valencia D
12 C. Smalling D
2 V. Lindelöf D
23 L. Shaw D
27 M. Fellaini M
6 P. Pogba M
17 Fred M
14 J. Lingard F
7 A. Sánchez F
9 R. Lukaku F
Bench (7)
8 Mata
11 A. Martial
15 Andreas Pereira
3 E. Bailly
18 A. Young
22 S. Romero
39 S. McTominay

Coach: José Mourinho

Wolves

3-4-2-1
11 Rui Patrício G
5 R. Bennett D
15 W. Boly D
2 M. Doherty M
16 C. Coady D
19 Jonny Castro M
28 João Moutinho M
8 Rúben Neves M
18 Diogo Jota F
10 Hélder Costa F
9 R. Jiménez F
Bench (7)
37 Adama Traoré
27 R. Saïss
17 M. Gibbs-White
21 J. Ruddy
29 Rúben Vinagre
30 K. Hause
33 Léo Bonatini

Coach: Nuno Espírito Santo

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Kevin Friend · 127 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
17,2 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,12 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.