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Primeira Liga
Referee: Hugo Miguel
Maritimo
S S T S S
0–0
Full-time
Belenenses
T S T U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Maritimo Belenenses
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,0
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
2,8
2,3
Scored
1,3
1,2
Conceded
1,5
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,0
This season — Primeira Liga · 4/4 matches
Win Ø 50%
75%
25%
Points per game
2,3
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 38%
50%
25%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,3
2,0
Scored
1,3
1,0
Conceded
1,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

44% Possession 56%
10 Shots 17
3 Shots on target 5
1 Blocked shots 7
5 Goalkeeper saves 3
7 Corners 9
3 Offside 0
13 Free kicks against 16
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Maritimo 6. · Belenenses 10.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Benfica 4 3 1 0 +7 10
2 Sp Braga 4 3 1 0 +5 10
3 Sp Lisbon 4 3 1 0 +4 10
4 Rio Ave 5 3 1 1 +3 10
5 Porto 4 3 0 1 +8 9
6 Maritimo 4 3 0 1 +1 9
7 Feirense 4 2 1 1 +2 7
8 Guimaraes 4 2 0 2 +0 6
9 Chaves 5 2 0 3 -4 6
10 Belenenses 4 1 2 1 +0 5
11 Santa Clara 5 1 2 2 -1 5
12 Vitoria Setubal 4 1 1 2 +0 4
13 Boavista 5 1 1 3 -3 4
14 Moreirense 4 1 1 2 -4 4
15 Nacional 4 1 0 3 -6 3
16 Tondela 4 0 2 2 -2 2
17 Portimonense 4 0 1 3 -5 1
18 Aves 4 0 1 3 -5 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Maritimo Belenenses
32′
🟨 Pierre Sagna
Half-time 0–0
Rodrigo Pinho 🔁
↦ Joel
61′
73′
🔁 Henrique Almeida
↦ A. Keita
Edgar Costa 🔁
↦ L. Barrera
74′
77′
🔁 Z. Bergdich
↦ Licá
Jean Cleber 🟨
78′
85′
🔁 M. Ljujić
↦ Dálcio
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Maritimo

4-2-3-1
1 A. Abedzadeh G
2 Bebeto D
5 Zainadine Junior D
4 Marcos D
45 Fábio China D
10 Danny M
8 J. Correa M
15 Jean Cleber M
27 Fabricio Baiano M
23 L. Barrera F
95 Joel F
Bench (7)
9 Rodrigo Pinho
12 Edgar Costa
89 N. Ioannidis
17 Rúben Ferreira
21 Gamboa
94 Charles
97 Aloísio Neto

Coach: Cláudio Braga

Belenenses

4-3-3
1 Muriel G
6 V. Sasso D
12 P. Sagna D
37 Gonçalo Silva D
67 Reinildo D
66 Nuno Coelho M
47 Jonatan M
8 Dálcio M
7 Licá F
16 Fredy F
50 A. Keita F
Bench (7)
17 Henrique Almeida
21 Z. Bergdich
11 M. Ljujić
25 Nuno Tomás
26 André Santos
39 Mika
98 Kikas

Coach: Silas

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Hugo Miguel · 125 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,2 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
31,7 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.