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Bundesliga

Referee: Benjamin Brand

Hoffenheim

U U U S U

2–2

Full-time

Dortmund

S S T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hoffenheim Dortmund

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,7

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

2,2

3,0

Scored

1,5

2,0

Conceded

0,7

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,8

+1,0

This season — Bundesliga · 14/14 matches

Win Ø 47%

43%

50%

Points per game

1,9

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 57%

57%

Both score Ø 64%

64%

Average goals

2,8

3,4

Scored

1,8

2,3

Conceded

1,0

1,1

Goal diff per game

+0,8

+1,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

53% Possession 47%

13 Shots 14

5 Shots on target 4

4 Blocked shots 6

2 Goalkeeper saves 3

2 Corners 4

4 Offside 1

22 Free kicks against 18

5 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Hoffenheim 4. · Dortmund 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	14	10	3	1	+25	33
2	RB Leipzig	14	10	3	1	+17	33
3	Hertha	14	8	3	3	+8	27
4	Hoffenheim	14	6	8	0	+11	26
5	Ein Frankfurt	14	7	5	2	+8	26
6	Dortmund	14	7	4	3	+16	25
7	FC Koln	14	6	5	3	+6	23
8	Leverkusen	14	6	2	6	+0	20
9	Freiburg	14	6	1	7	-7	19
10	Schalke 04	14	5	2	7	+2	17
11	Mainz	14	5	2	7	-3	17
12	M'gladbach	14	4	4	6	-8	16
13	Augsburg	14	3	5	6	-5	14
14	Werder Bremen	14	4	2	8	-14	14
15	Wolfsburg	14	2	4	8	-11	10
16	Hamburg	14	2	4	8	-16	10
17	FC Ingolstadt 04	14	2	3	9	-13	9
18	Darmstadt	14	2	2	10	-16	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	8	6	2	0	+19	20
2	Hertha	7	6	0	1	+9	18
3	Dortmund	7	5	2	0	+13	17
4	RB Leipzig	6	5	1	0	+7	16
5	FC Koln	7	4	3	0	+9	15
6	Hoffenheim	7	4	3	0	+7	15
7	M'gladbach	8	4	3	1	+6	15
8	Ein Frankfurt	7	4	3	0	+4	15
9	Freiburg	7	5	0	2	+0	15
10	Schalke 04	7	4	0	3	+6	12
11	Leverkusen	7	3	2	2	+1	11
12	Mainz	6	3	1	2	+2	10
13	Werder Bremen	7	3	0	4	-2	9
14	Darmstadt	7	2	2	3	-2	8
15	Augsburg	7	1	3	3	-5	6
16	FC Ingolstadt 04	7	1	2	4	-6	5
17	Hamburg	7	1	2	4	-10	5
18	Wolfsburg	7	0	2	5	-8	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	RB Leipzig	8	5	2	1	+10	17
2	Bayern Munich	6	4	1	1	+6	13
3	Hoffenheim	7	2	5	0	+4	11
4	Ein Frankfurt	7	3	2	2	+4	11
5	Leverkusen	7	3	0	4	-1	9
6	Hertha	7	2	3	2	-1	9
7	Dortmund	7	2	2	3	+3	8
8	Augsburg	7	2	2	3	+0	8
9	Wolfsburg	7	2	2	3	-3	8
10	FC Koln	7	2	2	3	-3	8
11	Mainz	8	2	1	5	-5	7
12	Schalke 04	7	1	2	4	-4	5
13	Hamburg	7	1	2	4	-6	5
14	Werder Bremen	7	1	2	4	-12	5
15	Freiburg	7	1	1	5	-7	4
16	FC Ingolstadt 04	7	1	1	5	-7	4
17	M'gladbach	6	0	1	5	-14	1
18	Darmstadt	7	0	0	7	-14	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.