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Bundesliga

Referee: Felix Brych

Dortmund

S T S S U

2–1

Full-time

Hoffenheim

S T S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Dortmund Hoffenheim

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

50%

67%

Points per game

1,8

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

3,2

Scored

1,8

2,0

Conceded

1,3

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,5

+0,8

This season — Bundesliga · 31/31 matches

Win Ø 50%

52%

48%

Points per game

1,8

1,9

Over 2.5 Ø 57%

61%

52%

Both score Ø 65%

65%

Average goals

3,2

2,9

Scored

2,1

1,9

Conceded

1,1

1,0

Goal diff per game

+1,0

+0,8

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

41% Possession 59%

11 Shots 10

4 Shots on target 5

1 Blocked shots 1

4 Goalkeeper saves 2

6 Corners 2

2 Offside 10

17 Free kicks against 11

4 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Dortmund 4. · Hoffenheim 3. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	31	22	7	2	+62	73
2	RB Leipzig	31	19	6	6	+25	63
3	Hoffenheim	31	15	13	3	+26	58
4	Dortmund	31	16	9	6	+30	57
5	Hertha	31	14	4	13	+1	46
6	FC Koln	32	11	12	9	+7	45
7	Werder Bremen	32	13	6	13	+0	45
8	Freiburg	31	13	5	13	-17	44
9	M'gladbach	31	12	6	13	-4	42
10	Schalke 04	31	11	8	12	+7	41
11	Ein Frankfurt	31	11	8	12	-3	41
12	Leverkusen	31	10	6	15	-6	36
13	Augsburg	31	9	8	14	-16	35
14	Mainz	31	9	6	16	-11	33
15	Wolfsburg	31	9	6	16	-19	33
16	Hamburg	31	9	6	16	-29	33
17	FC Ingolstadt 04	31	8	5	18	-21	29
18	Darmstadt	31	7	3	21	-32	24

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Hoffenheim	16	11	5	0	+21	38
2	RB Leipzig	16	12	2	2	+20	38
3	Bayern Munich	15	11	4	0	+42	37
4	Dortmund	15	11	4	0	+27	37
5	Hertha	15	12	1	2	+16	37
6	FC Koln	16	8	6	2	+10	30
7	Schalke 04	16	8	4	4	+14	28
8	Freiburg	15	9	1	5	-3	28
9	Ein Frankfurt	15	7	6	2	+8	27
10	Werder Bremen	16	8	1	7	+6	25
11	M'gladbach	15	7	3	5	+8	24
12	Hamburg	15	7	3	5	-5	24
13	Mainz	16	6	4	6	+2	22
14	Darmstadt	16	6	3	7	-5	21
15	Leverkusen	16	5	5	6	-1	20
16	Augsburg	16	5	5	6	-3	20
17	Wolfsburg	16	5	2	9	-10	17
18	FC Ingolstadt 04	15	4	3	8	-9	15

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	16	11	3	2	+20	36
2	RB Leipzig	15	7	4	4	+5	25
3	Hoffenheim	15	4	8	3	+5	20
4	Dortmund	16	5	5	6	+3	20
5	Werder Bremen	16	5	5	6	-6	20
6	M'gladbach	16	5	3	8	-12	18
7	Leverkusen	15	5	1	9	-5	16
8	Wolfsburg	15	4	4	7	-9	16
9	Freiburg	16	4	4	8	-14	16
10	FC Koln	16	3	6	7	-3	15
11	Augsburg	15	4	3	8	-13	15
12	Ein Frankfurt	16	4	2	10	-11	14
13	FC Ingolstadt 04	16	4	2	10	-12	14
14	Schalke 04	15	3	4	8	-7	13
15	Mainz	15	3	2	10	-13	11
16	Hertha	16	2	3	11	-15	9
17	Hamburg	16	2	3	11	-24	9
18	Darmstadt	15	1	0	14	-27	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.