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Bundesliga
Referee: Bastian Dankert
Nurnberg
T U U
2–0
Full-time
Hannover
S T U U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Nurnberg Hannover
Last 6 — all competitions · 3/6 matches
Win Ø 9%
0%
17%
Points per game
0,7
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
0%
67%
Both score Ø 75%
67%
83%
Average goals
1,7
3,3
Scored
0,7
1,5
Conceded
1,0
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,3
This season — Bundesliga · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
0,7
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 17%
0%
33%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
1,7
2,3
Scored
0,7
1,0
Conceded
1,0
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

55% Possession 45%
15 Shots 8
6 Shots on target 2
3 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 5
9 Corners 3
2 Offside 1
15 Free kicks against 9
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Nurnberg 14. · Hannover 13. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bayern Munich 3 3 0 0 +7 9
2 Dortmund 3 2 1 0 +5 7
3 Wolfsburg 3 2 1 0 +3 7
4 Hertha 3 2 1 0 +3 7
5 M'gladbach 3 2 1 0 +3 7
6 Mainz 3 2 1 0 +2 7
7 Werder Bremen 3 1 2 0 +1 5
8 Fortuna Dusseldorf 4 1 2 1 +0 5
9 Augsburg 3 1 1 1 +0 4
10 RB Leipzig 3 1 1 1 -2 4
11 Hoffenheim 3 1 0 2 -1 3
12 Ein Frankfurt 3 1 0 2 -1 3
13 Hannover 3 0 2 1 -1 2
14 Nurnberg 3 0 2 1 -1 2
15 Stuttgart 4 0 2 2 -4 2
16 Freiburg 3 0 1 2 -4 1
17 Schalke 04 3 0 0 3 -4 0
18 Leverkusen 3 0 0 3 -6 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Nurnberg Hannover
Virgil Misidjan 🟨
14′
17′
🟨 Pirmin Schwegler
29′
🟥 Miiko Albornoz
31′
🔁 J. Korb
↦ B. Wood
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 M. Bakalorz
↦ G. Haraguchi
Ondřej Petrák 🟨
64′
E. Löwen 🔁
↦ A. Fuchs
64′
Eduard Löwen 🟨
66′
T. Knöll 🔁
↦ V. Misidjan
73′
0–1 W. Anton ⚽
own goal
76′
1–1 T. Knöll ⚽
M. Ishak
77′
83′
🔁 J. Elez
↦ P. Schwegler
P. Erras 🔁
↦ M. Ishak
86′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Nurnberg

4-3-3
1 F. Bredlow G
33 G. Margreitter D
22 E. Valentini D
23 T. Leibold D
28 L. Mühl D
18 H. Behrens M
31 O. Petrak M
35 A. Fuchs M
9 M. Ishak F
14 Y. Kubo F
24 V. Misidjan F
Bench (7)
17 E. Löwen
19 T. Knöll
29 P. Erras
8 R. Bauer
21 F. Palacios
26 C. Mathenia
27 Matheus Pereira

Coach: M. Köllner

Hannover

4-4-2
23 M. Esser G
3 M. Albornoz D
25 O. Sorg D
28 K. Wimmer D
31 W. Anton D
27 P. Schwegler M
10 G. Haraguchi M
8 Walace M
17 B. Wood F
24 N. Füllkrug F
13 I. Bebou M
Bench (7)
4 J. Korb
6 M. Bakalorz
2 J. Elez
1 P. Tschauner
11 T. Asano
35 F. Muslija
40 L. Maina

Coach: A. Breitenreiter

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Bastian Dankert · 75 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.