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Ligue 1

Referee: T Léonard

Montpellier

T S U S U

1–0

Full-time

Nice

T U T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Montpellier Nice

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,5

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

1,8

2,7

Scored

1,0

Conceded

0,8

1,7

Goal diff per game

+0,2

-0,7

This season — Ligue 1 · 5/5 matches

Win Ø 40%

40%

Points per game

1,6

1,4

Over 2.5 Ø 40%

40%

Both score Ø 50%

60%

40%

Average goals

1,8

2,2

Scored

1,0

0,8

Conceded

0,8

1,4

Goal diff per game

+0,2

-0,6

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

40% Possession 60%

12 Shots 9

5 Shots on target 2

2 Blocked shots 3

2 Goalkeeper saves 3

6 Corners 5

2 Offside 0

14 Free kicks against 11

3 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Montpellier 6. · Nice 11. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	5	5	0	0	+13	15
2	Lille	6	4	1	1	+6	13
3	Marseille	5	3	1	1	+7	10
4	Toulouse	5	3	1	1	-1	10
5	Dijon	5	3	0	2	+3	9
6	Montpellier	5	2	2	1	+1	8
7	Nimes	6	2	2	2	+0	8
8	Lyon	5	2	1	2	+2	7
9	Rennes	5	2	1	2	+0	7
10	Reims	5	2	1	2	-2	7
11	Nice	5	2	1	2	-3	7
12	Monaco	6	1	3	2	+0	6
13	Angers	5	2	0	3	-1	6
14	Caen	5	1	3	1	-1	6
15	St Etienne	5	1	3	1	-3	6
16	Strasbourg	5	1	2	2	-1	5
17	Nantes	6	1	2	3	-4	5
18	Amiens	5	1	1	3	-1	4
19	Bordeaux	5	1	1	3	-4	4
20	Guingamp	5	0	0	5	-11	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	3	3	0	0	+9	9
2	Lille	3	3	0	0	+6	9
3	Marseille	3	2	1	0	+8	7
4	Toulouse	3	2	1	0	+2	7
5	Lyon	3	2	0	1	+3	6
6	Rennes	2	2	0	0	+3	6
7	St Etienne	2	1	1	0	+1	4
8	Bordeaux	3	1	1	1	-1	4
9	Amiens	3	1	0	2	+1	3
10	Nimes	2	1	0	1	+0	3
11	Angers	2	1	0	1	+0	3
12	Reims	2	1	0	1	+0	3
13	Dijon	3	1	0	2	-2	3
14	Nice	3	1	0	2	-4	3
15	Caen	2	0	2	0	+0	2
16	Monaco	3	0	2	1	-1	2
17	Montpellier	3	0	2	1	-1	2
18	Nantes	3	0	2	1	-2	2
19	Strasbourg	2	0	1	1	-1	1
20	Guingamp	2	0	0	2	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Dijon	2	2	0	0	+5	6
2	Paris SG	2	2	0	0	+4	6
3	Montpellier	2	2	0	0	+2	6
4	Nimes	4	1	2	1	+0	5
5	Monaco	3	1	1	1	+1	4
6	Nice	2	1	1	0	+1	4
7	Lille	3	1	1	1	+0	4
8	Strasbourg	3	1	1	1	+0	4
9	Caen	3	1	1	1	-1	4
10	Reims	3	1	1	1	-2	4
11	Marseille	2	1	0	1	-1	3
12	Angers	3	1	0	2	-1	3
13	Nantes	3	1	0	2	-2	3
14	Toulouse	2	1	0	1	-3	3
15	St Etienne	3	0	2	1	-4	2
16	Lyon	2	0	1	1	-1	1
17	Amiens	2	0	1	1	-2	1
18	Rennes	3	0	1	2	-3	1
19	Bordeaux	2	0	0	2	-3	0
20	Guingamp	3	0	0	3	-8	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.