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Bundesliga

Referee: Robert Hartmann

Hoffenheim

S S T S T

3–1

Full-time

Freiburg

T S T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hoffenheim Freiburg

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

67%

33%

Points per game

2,0

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

67%

33%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

3,8

2,7

Scored

2,3

1,0

Conceded

1,5

1,7

Goal diff per game

+0,8

-0,7

This season — Bundesliga · 1/1 matches

Win Ø 0%

Points per game

0,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

100%

Both score Ø 50%

100%

Average goals

4,0

2,0

Scored

1,0

0,0

Conceded

3,0

2,0

Goal diff per game

-2,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

58% Possession 42%

22 Shots 11

8 Shots on target 4

5 Blocked shots 2

3 Goalkeeper saves 5

6 Corners 4

3 Offside 2

13 Free kicks against 14

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Hoffenheim 15. · Freiburg 16. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Dortmund	2	1	1	0	+3	4
2	Bayern Munich	1	1	0	0	+2	3
3	Ein Frankfurt	1	1	0	0	+2	3
4	M'gladbach	1	1	0	0	+2	3
5	Augsburg	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Wolfsburg	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Hertha	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Mainz	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Hannover	2	0	2	0	+0	2
10	Werder Bremen	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Fortuna Dusseldorf	1	0	0	1	-1	0
12	Schalke 04	1	0	0	1	-1	0
13	Nurnberg	1	0	0	1	-1	0
14	Stuttgart	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Hoffenheim	1	0	0	1	-2	0
16	Freiburg	1	0	0	1	-2	0
17	Leverkusen	1	0	0	1	-2	0
18	RB Leipzig	1	0	0	1	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Dortmund	1	1	0	0	+3	3
2	Bayern Munich	1	1	0	0	+2	3
3	M'gladbach	1	1	0	0	+2	3
4	Wolfsburg	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Hertha	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Mainz	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Werder Bremen	1	0	1	0	+0	1
8	Hannover	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	Fortuna Dusseldorf	1	0	0	1	-1	0
10	Freiburg	1	0	0	1	-2	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ein Frankfurt	1	1	0	0	+2	3
2	Augsburg	1	1	0	0	+1	3
3	Hannover	1	0	1	0	+0	1
4	Dortmund	1	0	1	0	+0	1
5	Schalke 04	1	0	0	1	-1	0
6	Nurnberg	1	0	0	1	-1	0
7	Stuttgart	1	0	0	1	-1	0
8	Hoffenheim	1	0	0	1	-2	0
9	Leverkusen	1	0	0	1	-2	0
10	RB Leipzig	1	0	0	1	-3	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.