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Primeira Liga

Referee: Joao Carlos Santos Capela

Santa Clara

T U U S

1–3

Full-time

Rio Ave

S T S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Santa Clara Rio Ave

Last 6 — all competitions · 4/6 matches

Win Ø 38%

25%

50%

Points per game

1,3

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 54%

75%

33%

Both score Ø 63%

75%

50%

Average goals

4,3

2,0

Scored

2,3

1,2

Conceded

2,0

0,8

Goal diff per game

+0,3

This season — Primeira Liga · 4/4 matches

Win Ø 38%

25%

50%

Points per game

1,3

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 63%

75%

50%

Both score Ø 75%

75%

Average goals

4,3

2,8

Scored

2,3

1,5

Conceded

2,0

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

41% Possession 59%

21 Shots 10

7 Shots on target 4

6 Blocked shots 3

1 Goalkeeper saves 7

11 Corners 3

4 Offside 1

21 Free kicks against 13

2 Yellow cards 4

1 Red cards 1

The table before the match Santa Clara 10. · Rio Ave 7. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Benfica	4	3	1	0	+7	10
2	Sp Braga	4	3	1	0	+5	10
3	Sp Lisbon	4	3	1	0	+4	10
4	Porto	4	3	0	1	+8	9
5	Maritimo	4	3	0	1	+1	9
6	Feirense	4	2	1	1	+2	7
7	Rio Ave	4	2	1	1	+1	7
8	Guimaraes	4	2	0	2	+0	6
9	Chaves	5	2	0	3	-4	6
10	Santa Clara	4	1	2	1	+1	5
11	Belenenses	4	1	2	1	+0	5
12	Vitoria Setubal	4	1	1	2	+0	4
13	Boavista	5	1	1	3	-3	4
14	Moreirense	4	1	1	2	-4	4
15	Nacional	4	1	0	3	-6	3
16	Tondela	4	0	2	2	-2	2
17	Portimonense	4	0	1	3	-5	1
18	Aves	4	0	1	3	-5	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Porto	3	2	0	1	+7	6
2	Sp Braga	2	2	0	0	+4	6
3	Rio Ave	2	2	0	0	+3	6
4	Maritimo	2	2	0	0	+2	6
5	Sp Lisbon	2	2	0	0	+2	6
6	Santa Clara	2	1	1	0	+2	4
7	Feirense	2	1	1	0	+2	4
8	Benfica	2	1	1	0	+1	4
9	Vitoria Setubal	2	1	0	1	+1	3
10	Chaves	2	1	0	1	+1	3
11	Guimaraes	2	1	0	1	+0	3
12	Belenenses	2	0	1	1	-1	1
13	Aves	2	0	1	1	-1	1
14	Tondela	2	0	1	1	-1	1
15	Portimonense	2	0	1	1	-2	1
16	Moreirense	2	0	1	1	-2	1
17	Boavista	2	0	0	2	-3	0
18	Nacional	2	0	0	2	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Benfica	2	2	0	0	+6	6
2	Sp Lisbon	2	1	1	0	+2	4
3	Sp Braga	2	1	1	0	+1	4
4	Belenenses	2	1	1	0	+1	4
5	Boavista	3	1	1	1	+0	4
6	Porto	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Guimaraes	2	1	0	1	+0	3
8	Feirense	2	1	0	1	+0	3
9	Nacional	2	1	0	1	-1	3
10	Maritimo	2	1	0	1	-1	3
11	Moreirense	2	1	0	1	-2	3
12	Chaves	3	1	0	2	-5	3
13	Santa Clara	2	0	1	1	-1	1
14	Tondela	2	0	1	1	-1	1
15	Vitoria Setubal	2	0	1	1	-1	1
16	Rio Ave	2	0	1	1	-2	1
17	Portimonense	2	0	0	2	-3	0
18	Aves	2	0	0	2	-4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.