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Championship
Referee: England Darren
Brentford
U S U T S
2–0
Full-time
Wigan
T U S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Brentford Wigan
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,8
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,0
3,2
Scored
2,0
1,8
Conceded
1,0
1,3
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+0,5
This season — Championship · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,8
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,0
3,2
Scored
2,0
1,8
Conceded
1,0
1,3
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

57% Possession 43%
20 Shots 8
10 Shots on target 1
5 Blocked shots 3
1 Goalkeeper saves 8
9 Corners 3
2 Offside 1
11 Free kicks against 15
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Brentford 6. · Wigan 10.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Middlesbrough 6 4 2 0 +7 14
2 Derby 5 4 0 1 +5 12
3 Sheffield United 6 4 0 2 +4 12
4 Leeds 5 3 2 0 +7 11
5 West Brom 7 3 2 2 +6 11
6 Brentford 6 3 2 1 +6 11
7 Bristol City 6 3 2 1 +5 11
8 Swansea 6 3 2 1 +2 11
9 Bolton 6 3 2 1 +0 11
10 Wigan 6 3 1 2 +3 10
11 Sheffield Weds 6 3 1 2 +0 10
12 Aston Villa 6 2 3 1 +0 9
13 Blackburn 6 2 3 1 -1 9
14 Nott'm Forest 6 1 4 1 +0 7
15 Rotherham 6 2 0 4 -6 6
16 Millwall 6 1 2 3 -2 5
17 Birmingham 7 0 5 2 -2 5
18 Norwich 6 1 2 3 -3 5
19 Stoke 6 1 2 3 -4 5
20 Preston 6 1 2 3 -4 5
21 Hull 6 1 1 4 -5 4
22 QPR 6 1 1 4 -10 4
23 Ipswich 6 0 3 3 -4 3
24 Reading 6 0 2 4 -4 2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Brentford Wigan
1–0 N. Maupay
S. Benrahma
24′
34′
🟨 Josh Windass
40′
🟨 Nick Powell
Half-time 1–0
Ollie Watkins 🟨
50′
58′
🟥 Sam Morsy
Henrik Dalsgaard 🟨
59′
2–0 N. Maupay
63′
64′
🔁 D. Gibson
↦ J. Vaughan
67′
🔁 J. Garner
↦ N. Powell
Sergi Canós 🔁
↦ N. Maupay
71′
A. Judge 🔁
↦ S. Benrahma
73′
J. Jeanvier 🔁
↦ C. Mepham
74′
80′
🔁 C. McManaman
↦ J. Windass
89′
🟨 Cheyenne Dunkley
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Brentford

4-2-3-1
1 D. Bentley G
22 H. Dalsgaard D
29 Y. Barbet D
6 C. Mepham D
19 R. Sawyers M
10 J. McEachran M
4 L. MacLeod M
26 E. Konsa D
9 N. Maupay F
21 S. Benrahma F
11 O. Watkins M
Bench (7)
7 Sergi Canós
18 A. Judge
23 J. Jeanvier
8 N. Yennaris
12 K. Mokotjo
20 J. Clarke
28 L. Daniels

Coach: D. Smith

Wigan

4-2-3-1
1 C. Walton G
22 C. Dunkley D
26 C. Connolly M
3 A. Robinson D
21 C. Kipre D
12 R. James D
5 Sam Morsy M
25 N. Powell M
36 L. Evans M
10 J. Windass M
8 J. Vaughan F
Bench (7)
4 D. Gibson
41 J. Garner
15 C. McManaman
2 N. Byrne
9 W. Grigg
17 M. Jacobs
23 J. Jones

Coach: P. Cook

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

England Darren · 52 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
25,6 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,10 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.