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Championship
Referee: Tony Harrington
Blackburn
S U U S U
1–0
Full-time
Brentford
U S U S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Blackburn Brentford
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
2,0
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,3
3,0
Scored
1,5
1,8
Conceded
0,8
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+0,7
This season — Championship · 4/4 matches
Win Ø 38%
25%
50%
Points per game
1,5
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 63%
50%
75%
Average goals
2,3
3,5
Scored
1,3
2,5
Conceded
1,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+1,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

39% Possession 61%
2 Shots 8
1 Shots on target 3
1 Blocked shots 0
3 Goalkeeper saves 0
3 Corners 4
2 Offside 3
12 Free kicks against 10
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Blackburn 11. · Brentford 3.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Middlesbrough 5 4 1 0 +7 13
2 Bolton 4 3 1 0 +3 10
3 Brentford 4 2 2 0 +6 8
4 Aston Villa 4 2 2 0 +3 8
5 Swansea 4 2 2 0 +2 8
6 West Brom 5 2 1 2 +5 7
7 Leeds 3 2 1 0 +4 7
8 Wigan 4 2 1 1 +3 7
9 Derby 3 2 0 1 +2 6
10 Nott'm Forest 4 1 3 0 +1 6
11 Blackburn 4 1 3 0 +1 6
12 Sheffield United 4 2 0 2 -2 6
13 Bristol City 4 1 2 1 +1 5
14 Millwall 4 1 2 1 +0 5
15 Norwich 4 1 1 2 +0 4
16 Sheffield Weds 4 1 1 2 -2 4
17 Hull 4 1 1 2 -2 4
18 Preston 4 1 1 2 -2 4
19 Rotherham 4 1 0 3 -6 3
20 Birmingham 4 0 2 2 -2 2
21 Ipswich 4 0 2 2 -3 2
22 Stoke 4 0 2 2 -5 2
23 Reading 4 0 1 3 -3 1
24 QPR 4 0 0 4 -11 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Blackburn Brentford
Half-time 1–0
1–0 K. Palmer
54′
D. Graham 🔁
↦ J. Nuttall
59′
64′
🔁 A. Judge
↦ M. Forss
65′
🔁 Sergi Canós
↦ S. Benrahma
C. Conway 🔁
↦ K. Palmer
69′
L. Travis 🔁
↦ C. Evans
78′
79′
🔁 L. MacLeod
↦ R. Sawyers
90′
🟨 Lewis MacLeod
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Blackburn

4-2-3-1
1 David Raya G
14 C. Mulgrew D
26 D. Lenihan D
17 A. Bell D
2 R. Nyambe D
31 E. Bennett M
29 C. Evans M
6 R. Smallwood M
8 J. Rothwell M
45 K. Palmer M
24 J. Nuttall F
Bench (7)
10 D. Graham
32 C. Conway
27 L. Travis
30 S. Hart
13 J. Leutwiler
16 P. Caddis
25 P. Downing

Coach: T. Mowbray

Brentford

4-3-3
1 D. Bentley G
22 H. Dalsgaard D
29 Y. Barbet D
6 C. Mepham D
19 R. Sawyers M
12 K. Mokotjo M
8 N. Yennaris M
26 E. Konsa D
21 S. Benrahma F
11 O. Watkins M
33 M. Forss F
Bench (7)
18 A. Judge
7 Sergi Canós
4 L. MacLeod
10 J. McEachran
20 J. Clarke
23 J. Jeanvier
28 L. Daniels

Coach: D. Smith

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Tony Harrington · 95 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,12 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.