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Pro League
Referee: B Verbeke
Lommel United
T T T S S
3–1
Full-time
Beerschot VA
S S T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lommel United Beerschot VA
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,0
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 58%
33%
83%
Average goals
2,5
3,7
Scored
1,2
2,2
Conceded
1,3
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Pro League · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 75%
100%
50%
Points per game
3,0
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
100%
50%
Both score Ø 75%
50%
100%
Average goals
3,0
3,5
Scored
2,5
2,0
Conceded
0,5
1,5
Goal diff per game
+2,0
+0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

47% Possession 53%
8 Shots 13
5 Shots on target 4
2 Blocked shots 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 2
4 Corners 6
2 Offside 1
13 Free kicks against 12
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Club Brugge 25 20 1 4 +29 +15.4 61
2 St. Gilloise 25 17 8 0 +31 +22.9 59
3 St Truiden 25 15 3 7 +15 +15.3 48
4 Genk 25 10 8 7 +4 +10.3 38
5 Gent 24 11 5 8 +4 +0.9 38
6 Mechelen 25 10 8 7 +1 -9.6 38
7 Cercle Brugge 29 10 7 12 +1 +3.7 37
8 Waregem 29 11 4 14 -2 -5.5 37
9 Antwerp 25 10 5 10 +5 +0.3 35
10 Anderlecht 25 9 6 10 +0 +3.0 33
11 Westerlo 26 8 8 10 -5 -1.8 32
12 Standard 25 8 6 11 -12 -12.0 30
13 Charleroi 26 8 5 13 -4 -3.0 29
14 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 26 5 8 13 -17 -9.5 23
15 RAAL La Louviere 28 4 10 14 -19 -11.0 22
16 Dender 28 3 6 19 -31 -19.3 15

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Lommel United Beerschot VA
5′
🟨 Severin Sabri Guendouz
Jason van Duiven 🟨
6′
1–0 L. Schoofs
T. Reyners
14′
2–0 T. Reyners
L. Schoofs
15′
24′
L. Van Eenoo 2–1
C. Dagba
31′
🟨 Bas Van den Eynden
Half-time 2–1
J. Tolinsson 🔁
↦ J. van Duiven
59′
M. Salah 🔁
↦ Z. Vancsa
61′
65′
🔁 D. Wright-Phillips
↦ R. Sanusi
N. Rommens 🔁
↦ L. Lopez
73′
78′
🔁 K. Masui
↦ R. van La Parra
80′
🟨 Severin Sabri Guendouz
80′
🟥 Severin Sabri Guendouz
3–1 S. De Grand
85′
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Lommel United

4-4-2
23 M. Pieklak G
9 J. van Duiven D
13 J. A. Banguera Riascos D
5 D. Wouters D
79 S. De Grand D
93 Z. Vancsa M
6 J. Pelupessy M
18 L. Lopez M
10 T. Reyners M
15 L. Schoofs F
30 R. Seuntjens F
Bench (9)
1 N. Ivezic
8 N. Rommens
3 T. Eyoma
73 A. Reumers
11 R. van Duiven
14 J. Tolinsson
34 H. Oware
98 M. Salah
46 N. Corthouts

Coach: Lee Johnson

Beerschot VA

4-2-3-1
33 N. Shinton G
2 C. Dagba D
6 B. Van den Eynden D
4 B. Plat D
76 D. Gyamfi D
18 R. Sanusi M
7 R. van La Parra M
78 G. Haraguchi M
8 L. Van Eenoo M
19 S. Guendouz M
15 A. Vula
Bench (9)
1 X. Gies
10 G. Claes
71 K. Masui
16 A. Labie
32 D. Wright-Phillips
75 Nilton
17 A. Van Himbeeck
3 M. Govaers
45 E. Brahic

Coach: Mohammed Messoudi

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

B Verbeke · 21 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,8 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
20,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.