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Pro League

Referee: J Vergoote

Mechelen

U U S T S

2–1

Full-time

Waregem

S T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Mechelen Waregem

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

33%

17%

Points per game

1,5

0,5

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

33%

83%

Both score Ø 75%

67%

83%

Average goals

2,8

4,2

Scored

1,7

Conceded

1,2

2,5

Goal diff per game

+0,5

-0,8

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Pro League · 19/20 matches

Win Ø 39%

47%

30%

Points per game

1,8

1,1

Over 2.5 Ø 44%

32%

55%

Both score Ø 62%

58%

65%

Average goals

2,4

3,3

Scored

1,5

Conceded

0,9

1,8

Goal diff per game

+0,5

-0,4

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

1,09 xG 1,99

41% Possession 59%

5 Shots 16

3 Shots on target 5

0 Blocked shots 1

4 Goalkeeper saves 1

1 Corners 8

2 Offside 1

13 Free kicks against 11

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Mechelen 4. · Waregem 12. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Club Brugge	18	14	1	3	+18	+6.8	43
2	St. Gilloise	17	11	6	0	+23	+19.2	39
3	St Truiden	17	12	2	3	+13	+16.3	38
4	Mechelen	19	9	7	3	+10	-3.4	34
5	Gent	16	9	2	5	+7	+2.8	29
6	Anderlecht	18	6	6	6	+0	+3.6	24
7	Cercle Brugge	22	6	6	10	-5	-0.9	24
8	Genk	15	6	4	5	+1	+0.9	22
9	Antwerp	18	6	4	8	+1	-2.1	22
10	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	19	5	6	8	-5	-3.9	21
11	Westerlo	18	5	6	7	-6	+1.1	21
12	Waregem	20	6	3	11	-7	-7.0	21
13	RAAL La Louviere	22	4	8	10	-9	-9.9	20
14	Standard	19	5	5	9	-14	-10.4	20
15	Charleroi	17	5	3	9	-4	-2.7	18
16	Dender	21	2	5	14	-23	-10.5	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	St. Gilloise	8	8	0	0	+18	+11.1	24
2	Club Brugge	10	7	1	2	+8	+3.0	22
3	St Truiden	9	6	0	3	+1	+6.6	18
4	Gent	8	5	0	3	+6	+0.3	15
5	Mechelen	9	3	4	2	+2	+0.4	13
6	Waregem	10	4	1	5	-1	-0.2	13
7	Antwerp	9	3	3	3	+1	-0.1	12
8	Genk	8	3	2	3	+0	+4.1	11
9	Westerlo	8	3	2	3	+0	+3.1	11
10	Anderlecht	8	2	4	2	+2	+5.7	10
11	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	10	2	4	4	+0	-0.3	10
12	RAAL La Louviere	10	2	4	4	-4	-5.0	10
13	Charleroi	9	2	3	4	-2	-1.5	9
14	Standard	10	1	5	4	-7	-2.6	8
15	Cercle Brugge	12	1	3	8	-10	-2.0	6
16	Dender	10	1	1	8	-14	-4.1	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Club Brugge	8	7	0	1	+10	+3.9	21
2	Mechelen	10	6	3	1	+8	-3.8	21
3	St Truiden	8	6	2	0	+12	+9.7	20
4	Cercle Brugge	10	5	3	2	+5	+1.1	18
5	St. Gilloise	9	3	6	0	+5	+8.1	15
6	Gent	8	4	2	2	+1	+2.4	14
7	Anderlecht	10	4	2	4	-2	-2.1	14
8	Standard	9	4	0	5	-7	-7.8	12
9	Genk	7	3	2	2	+1	-3.2	11
10	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	9	3	2	4	-5	-3.5	11
11	Antwerp	9	3	1	5	+0	-2.0	10
12	RAAL La Louviere	12	2	4	6	-5	-4.9	10
13	Westerlo	10	2	4	4	-6	-2.0	10
14	Charleroi	8	3	0	5	-2	-1.2	9
15	Waregem	10	2	2	6	-6	-6.8	8
16	Dender	11	1	4	6	-9	-6.3	7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.