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Pro League

Referee: E Lambrechts

St. Gilloise

U S U S S

1–0

Full-time

St Truiden

S S T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

St. Gilloise St Truiden

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 67%

67%

Points per game

2,3

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

2,5

3,2

Scored

1,8

2,2

Conceded

0,7

1,0

Goal diff per game

+1,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Pro League · 20/20 matches

Win Ø 65%

65%

Points per game

2,3

2,1

Over 2.5 Ø 45%

40%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,3

2,5

Scored

1,8

1,6

Conceded

0,5

1,0

Goal diff per game

+1,3

+0,6

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,32 xG 0,54

52% Possession 48%

16 Shots 6

4 Shots on target 0

9 Blocked shots 3

0 Goalkeeper saves 3

7 Corners 5

1 Offside 2

9 Free kicks against 6

3 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match St. Gilloise 2. · St Truiden 3. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Club Brugge	20	16	1	3	+20	+9.0	49
2	St. Gilloise	20	13	7	0	+26	+19.5	46
3	St Truiden	20	13	2	5	+12	+15.7	41
4	Mechelen	20	10	7	3	+11	-4.3	37
5	Gent	19	11	2	6	+8	+3.3	35
6	Genk	20	9	5	6	+5	+5.8	32
7	Cercle Brugge	25	7	7	11	-5	-1.9	28
8	Anderlecht	20	7	6	7	+3	+4.7	27
9	Antwerp	21	7	5	9	+1	-3.7	26
10	Standard	21	7	5	9	-11	-8.8	26
11	Waregem	25	7	4	14	-10	-7.3	25
12	Westerlo	20	5	7	8	-7	+0.2	22
13	RAAL La Louviere	24	4	10	10	-9	-9.5	22
14	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	21	5	6	10	-11	-5.8	21
15	Charleroi	20	5	4	11	-6	-3.4	19
16	Dender	24	2	6	16	-27	-13.5	12

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	St. Gilloise	10	10	0	0	+21	+11.7	30
2	Club Brugge	10	7	1	2	+8	+3.0	22
3	St Truiden	10	7	0	3	+2	+7.4	21
4	Gent	9	6	0	3	+8	+1.1	18
5	Genk	10	5	2	3	+4	+6.6	17
6	Waregem	13	5	2	6	-1	-0.7	17
7	Mechelen	10	4	4	2	+3	-0.5	16
8	Antwerp	11	4	3	4	+1	-0.3	15
9	Anderlecht	10	3	4	3	+5	+6.8	13
10	Westerlo	10	3	3	4	-1	+2.2	12
11	RAAL La Louviere	12	2	6	4	-4	-4.6	12
12	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	11	2	4	5	-2	-1.4	10
13	Charleroi	10	2	3	5	-3	-2.4	9
14	Standard	10	1	5	4	-7	-2.6	8
15	Cercle Brugge	12	1	3	8	-10	-2.0	6
16	Dender	12	1	2	9	-16	-6.0	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Club Brugge	10	9	0	1	+12	+6.0	27
2	Cercle Brugge	13	6	4	3	+5	+0.0	22
3	Mechelen	10	6	3	1	+8	-3.8	21
4	St Truiden	10	6	2	2	+10	+8.3	20
5	Standard	11	6	0	5	-4	-6.2	18
6	Gent	10	5	2	3	+0	+2.2	17
7	St. Gilloise	10	3	7	0	+5	+7.8	16
8	Genk	10	4	3	3	+1	-0.8	15
9	Anderlecht	10	4	2	4	-2	-2.1	14
10	Antwerp	10	3	2	5	+0	-3.4	11
11	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	10	3	2	5	-9	-4.5	11
12	Charleroi	10	3	1	6	-3	-0.9	10
13	RAAL La Louviere	12	2	4	6	-5	-4.9	10
14	Westerlo	10	2	4	4	-6	-2.0	10
15	Waregem	12	2	2	8	-9	-6.6	8
16	Dender	12	1	4	7	-11	-7.5	7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.