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Pro League

Referee: N Laforge

St Truiden

U T S S T

2–1

Full-time

Mechelen

S T S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

St Truiden Mechelen

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

2,8

2,7

Scored

1,7

Conceded

1,2

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,5

+0,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Pro League · 10/8 matches

Win Ø 29%

20%

38%

Points per game

0,9

1,4

Over 2.5 Ø 49%

60%

38%

Both score Ø 60%

70%

50%

Average goals

3,4

2,4

Scored

1,3

Conceded

2,1

1,1

Goal diff per game

-0,8

+0,1

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

1,31 xG 1,04

38% Possession 62%

16 Shots 7

5 Shots on target 2

4 Blocked shots 4

1 Goalkeeper saves 4

10 Corners 2

2 Offside 4

6 Free kicks against 6

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match St Truiden 12. · Mechelen 9. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Antwerp	8	6	1	1	+16	+4.2	19
2	Genk	9	6	1	2	+6	+13.0	19
3	Club Brugge	8	5	2	1	+8	+5.4	17
4	Anderlecht	9	4	4	1	+9	+5.1	16
5	Gent	9	4	2	3	+6	-2.9	14
6	Charleroi	9	4	2	3	+4	+3.3	14
7	St. Gilloise	9	3	4	2	+3	+5.9	13
8	Dender	9	3	4	2	+0	-1.4	13
9	Mechelen	8	3	2	3	+1	-0.7	11
10	Standard	8	3	2	3	-4	-4.3	11
11	Cercle Brugge	10	3	2	5	-7	-6.9	11
12	St Truiden	10	2	3	5	-8	-2.4	9
13	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	9	1	5	3	-3	+2.1	8
14	Westerlo	9	2	2	5	-4	-1.6	8
15	Kortrijk	10	2	1	7	-16	-8.5	7
16	Beerschot VA	10	1	3	6	-11	-10.3	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Genk	5	4	1	0	+7	+6.4	13
2	Antwerp	5	4	0	1	+14	+4.7	12
3	Anderlecht	6	3	3	0	+8	+3.5	12
4	Charleroi	5	3	1	1	+4	+3.9	10
5	Standard	4	3	1	0	+3	-0.6	10
6	Gent	4	3	0	1	+7	+1.9	9
7	St. Gilloise	4	3	0	1	+4	+5.0	9
8	St Truiden	6	2	3	1	+0	+1.0	9
9	Mechelen	4	2	1	1	+3	+1.3	7
10	Westerlo	5	2	1	2	+2	+4.6	7
11	Cercle Brugge	4	2	1	1	+2	+0.2	7
12	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	5	1	3	1	+1	+2.2	6
13	Kortrijk	4	2	0	2	-2	-1.5	6
14	Dender	4	1	2	1	+2	+0.6	5
15	Beerschot VA	5	1	2	2	-1	-3.5	5
16	Club Brugge	2	1	1	0	+3	+4.0	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Club Brugge	6	4	1	1	+5	+1.5	13
2	Dender	5	2	2	1	-2	-2.1	8
3	Antwerp	3	2	1	0	+2	-0.5	7
4	Genk	4	2	0	2	-1	+6.6	6
5	Gent	5	1	2	2	-1	-4.8	5
6	Anderlecht	3	1	1	1	+1	+1.5	4
7	Charleroi	4	1	1	2	+0	-0.6	4
8	St. Gilloise	5	0	4	1	-1	+0.9	4
9	Mechelen	4	1	1	2	-2	-2.0	4
10	Cercle Brugge	6	1	1	4	-9	-7.1	4
11	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	4	0	2	2	-4	-0.1	2
12	Westerlo	4	0	1	3	-6	-6.2	1
13	Standard	4	0	1	3	-7	-3.8	1
14	Beerschot VA	5	0	1	4	-10	-6.8	1
15	Kortrijk	6	0	1	5	-14	-7.0	1
16	St Truiden	4	0	0	4	-8	-3.4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.