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Pro League

Referee: J Vergoote

Gent

T S S U T

0–0

Full-time

St Truiden

T S T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Gent St Truiden

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,2

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,7

2,3

Scored

1,2

Conceded

1,5

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+0,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Pro League · 21/22 matches

Win Ø 56%

52%

59%

Points per game

1,7

1,9

Over 2.5 Ø 56%

62%

50%

Both score Ø 49%

48%

50%

Average goals

3,0

2,5

Scored

1,7

1,5

Conceded

1,4

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,3

+0,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

0,29 xG 1,03

49% Possession 51%

13 Shots 12

2 Shots on target 3

5 Blocked shots 6

3 Goalkeeper saves 2

6 Corners 5

2 Offside 0

8 Free kicks against 14

0 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Gent 6. · St Truiden 3. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Club Brugge	22	18	1	3	+23	+10.7	55
2	St. Gilloise	22	15	7	0	+28	+22.6	52
3	St Truiden	22	13	2	7	+10	+14.4	41
4	Mechelen	23	10	8	5	+9	-6.5	38
5	Genk	22	10	6	6	+6	+7.3	36
6	Gent	21	11	3	7	+6	+3.9	36
7	Anderlecht	23	9	6	8	+4	+2.6	33
8	Cercle Brugge	26	8	7	11	-2	+0.3	31
9	Antwerp	23	8	5	10	+2	-2.4	29
10	Standard	23	8	5	10	-11	-10.8	29
11	Westerlo	23	7	7	9	-5	+0.7	28
12	Waregem	26	8	4	14	-9	-5.5	28
13	Charleroi	23	6	4	13	-8	-2.8	22
14	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	23	5	7	11	-13	-7.7	22
15	RAAL La Louviere	26	4	10	12	-13	-10.0	22
16	Dender	26	3	6	17	-27	-16.9	15

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	St. Gilloise	11	11	0	0	+22	+12.4	33
2	Club Brugge	11	8	1	2	+10	+4.2	25
3	St Truiden	11	7	0	4	+1	+6.9	21
4	Gent	10	6	1	3	+8	+1.2	19
5	Genk	11	5	3	3	+4	+6.7	18
6	Antwerp	12	5	3	4	+3	+1.4	18
7	Waregem	13	5	2	6	-1	-0.7	17
8	Anderlecht	11	4	4	3	+7	+6.3	16
9	Mechelen	12	4	4	4	+1	-2.6	16
10	Westerlo	12	4	3	5	+0	+1.9	15
11	Charleroi	12	3	3	6	-3	-0.7	12
12	RAAL La Louviere	13	2	6	5	-5	-2.9	12
13	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	11	2	4	5	-2	-1.4	10
14	Cercle Brugge	13	2	3	8	-7	+0.3	9
15	Standard	11	1	5	5	-8	-3.3	8
16	Dender	13	1	2	10	-17	-7.7	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Club Brugge	11	10	0	1	+13	+6.5	30
2	Mechelen	11	6	4	1	+8	-3.9	22
3	Cercle Brugge	13	6	4	3	+5	+0.0	22
4	Standard	12	7	0	5	-3	-7.4	21
5	St Truiden	11	6	2	3	+9	+7.5	20
6	St. Gilloise	11	4	7	0	+6	+10.2	19
7	Genk	11	5	3	3	+2	+0.6	18
8	Gent	11	5	2	4	-2	+2.8	17
9	Anderlecht	12	5	2	5	-3	-3.6	17
10	Westerlo	11	3	4	4	-5	-1.3	13
11	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	12	3	3	6	-11	-6.3	12
12	Antwerp	11	3	2	6	-1	-3.9	11
13	Waregem	13	3	2	8	-8	-4.9	11
14	Charleroi	11	3	1	7	-5	-2.1	10
15	RAAL La Louviere	13	2	4	7	-8	-7.1	10
16	Dender	13	2	4	7	-10	-9.2	10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.