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Pro League

Referee: J Boterberg

Gent

S T T S S

1–1

Full-time

Mechelen

U S T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Gent Mechelen

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

1,5

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

3,2

3,0

Scored

1,5

1,8

Conceded

1,7

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+0,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Pro League · 19/20 matches

Win Ø 54%

58%

50%

Points per game

1,8

1,9

Over 2.5 Ø 49%

63%

35%

Both score Ø 51%

42%

60%

Average goals

3,1

2,5

Scored

1,7

1,5

Conceded

1,3

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,4

+0,6

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

0,87 xG 0,78

35% Possession 65%

6 Shots 8

4 Shots on target 6

0 Blocked shots 1

4 Goalkeeper saves 3

5 Corners 10

1 Offside 0

9 Free kicks against 7

1 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Gent 5. · Mechelen 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Club Brugge	21	17	1	3	+22	+10.2	52
2	St. Gilloise	21	14	7	0	+27	+20.3	49
3	St Truiden	21	13	2	6	+11	+14.9	41
4	Mechelen	20	10	7	3	+11	-4.3	37
5	Gent	19	11	2	6	+8	+3.3	35
6	Genk	20	9	5	6	+5	+5.8	32
7	Cercle Brugge	25	7	7	11	-5	-1.9	28
8	Anderlecht	21	7	6	8	+1	+3.5	27
9	Antwerp	21	7	5	9	+1	-3.7	26
10	Standard	21	7	5	9	-11	-8.8	26
11	Westerlo	21	6	7	8	-5	+1.4	25
12	Waregem	25	7	4	14	-10	-7.3	25
13	RAAL La Louviere	25	4	10	11	-10	-7.8	22
14	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	21	5	6	10	-11	-5.8	21
15	Charleroi	21	5	4	12	-8	-4.5	19
16	Dender	25	3	6	16	-26	-15.2	15

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	St. Gilloise	11	11	0	0	+22	+12.4	33
2	Club Brugge	11	8	1	2	+10	+4.2	25
3	St Truiden	10	7	0	3	+2	+7.4	21
4	Gent	9	6	0	3	+8	+1.1	18
5	Genk	10	5	2	3	+4	+6.6	17
6	Waregem	13	5	2	6	-1	-0.7	17
7	Mechelen	10	4	4	2	+3	-0.5	16
8	Antwerp	11	4	3	4	+1	-0.3	15
9	Westerlo	11	4	3	4	+1	+3.4	15
10	Anderlecht	10	3	4	3	+5	+6.8	13
11	RAAL La Louviere	13	2	6	5	-5	-2.9	12
12	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	11	2	4	5	-2	-1.4	10
13	Charleroi	10	2	3	5	-3	-2.4	9
14	Standard	10	1	5	4	-7	-2.6	8
15	Cercle Brugge	12	1	3	8	-10	-2.0	6
16	Dender	12	1	2	9	-16	-6.0	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Club Brugge	10	9	0	1	+12	+6.0	27
2	Cercle Brugge	13	6	4	3	+5	+0.0	22
3	Mechelen	10	6	3	1	+8	-3.8	21
4	St Truiden	11	6	2	3	+9	+7.5	20
5	Standard	11	6	0	5	-4	-6.2	18
6	Gent	10	5	2	3	+0	+2.2	17
7	St. Gilloise	10	3	7	0	+5	+7.8	16
8	Genk	10	4	3	3	+1	-0.8	15
9	Anderlecht	11	4	2	5	-4	-3.3	14
10	Antwerp	10	3	2	5	+0	-3.4	11
11	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	10	3	2	5	-9	-4.5	11
12	RAAL La Louviere	12	2	4	6	-5	-4.9	10
13	Charleroi	11	3	1	7	-5	-2.1	10
14	Westerlo	10	2	4	4	-6	-2.0	10
15	Dender	13	2	4	7	-10	-9.2	10
16	Waregem	12	2	2	8	-9	-6.6	8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.