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Referee: Jasper Vergoote

Cercle Brugge

T T S S U

2–3

Full-time

Charleroi

U T U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Cercle Brugge Charleroi

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,7

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

3,0

2,2

Scored

1,8

1,2

Conceded

1,2

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,7

+0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Pro League · 5/3 matches

Win Ø 37%

40%

33%

Points per game

1,4

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 37%

40%

33%

Both score Ø 54%

40%

67%

Average goals

2,8

2,3

Scored

1,6

1,3

Conceded

1,2

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,4

+0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

1,80 xG 1,30

56% Possession 44%

8 Shots 9

2 Shots on target 4

2 Blocked shots 2

1 Goalkeeper saves 0

4 Corners 3

2 Offside 3

7 Free kicks against 12

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Cercle Brugge 6. · Charleroi 10. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	St. Gilloise	5	3	2	0	+9	+9.6	11
2	St Truiden	5	3	2	0	+5	+6.2	11
3	Anderlecht	4	3	0	1	+6	+5.5	9
4	Club Brugge	4	3	0	1	+3	+3.2	9
5	Mechelen	5	2	2	1	+1	+0.8	8
6	Cercle Brugge	5	2	1	2	+2	-0.3	7
7	Waregem	7	2	1	4	-3	-3.6	7
8	RAAL La Louviere	7	2	1	4	-3	-6.4	7
9	Standard	5	1	2	2	-4	-3.2	5
10	Charleroi	3	1	1	1	+1	+0.3	4
11	Antwerp	3	1	1	1	+0	-3.5	4
12	Westerlo	4	1	0	3	-5	-1.4	3
13	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	3	1	0	2	-6	-1.3	3
14	Dender	6	0	1	5	-8	-8.2	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	RAAL La Louviere	4	2	1	1	+0	-3.2	7
2	St. Gilloise	2	2	0	0	+8	+5.4	6
3	St Truiden	2	2	0	0	+3	+2.6	6
4	Club Brugge	2	2	0	0	+3	+1.0	6
5	Charleroi	2	1	1	0	+2	+0.1	4
6	Cercle Brugge	3	1	1	1	+1	-1.4	4
7	Antwerp	3	1	1	1	+0	-3.5	4
8	Waregem	4	1	1	2	-1	-1.1	4
9	Anderlecht	2	1	0	1	+2	+3.0	3
10	Mechelen	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.6	3
11	Westerlo	2	1	0	1	+1	+1.2	3
12	Standard	3	0	2	1	-3	-1.2	2
13	Dender	3	0	0	3	-4	-4.1	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Anderlecht	2	2	0	0	+4	+2.5	6
2	St Truiden	3	1	2	0	+2	+3.6	5
3	St. Gilloise	3	1	2	0	+1	+4.2	5
4	Mechelen	4	1	2	1	+0	-0.7	5
5	Cercle Brugge	2	1	0	1	+1	+1.1	3
6	Club Brugge	2	1	0	1	+0	+2.2	3
7	Standard	2	1	0	1	-1	-2.0	3
8	Waregem	3	1	0	2	-2	-2.5	3
9	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	3	1	0	2	-6	-1.3	3
10	Dender	3	0	1	2	-4	-4.2	1
11	Charleroi	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.2	0
12	RAAL La Louviere	3	0	0	3	-3	-3.2	0
13	Westerlo	2	0	0	2	-6	-2.6	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.