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Pro League

Referee: L D'hondt

Charleroi

T T U T S

0–0

Full-time

Cercle Brugge

T S S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Charleroi Cercle Brugge

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

17%

50%

Points per game

0,7

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 67%

50%

83%

Average goals

2,7

3,8

Scored

0,7

2,2

Conceded

2,0

1,7

Goal diff per game

-1,3

+0,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Pro League · 22/18 matches

Win Ø 45%

18%

72%

Points per game

0,8

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 53%

50%

56%

Both score Ø 60%

64%

56%

Average goals

2,8

3,0

Scored

1,0

2,0

Conceded

1,8

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,8

+1,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,11 xG 0,81

57% Possession 43%

6 Shots 11

2 Shots on target 2

3 Blocked shots 4

2 Goalkeeper saves 2

2 Corners 8

2 Offside 0

15 Free kicks against 17

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Charleroi 12. · Cercle Brugge 3. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	St. Gilloise	19	16	2	1	+27	+22.1	50
2	Anderlecht	18	12	5	1	+20	+12.2	41
3	Cercle Brugge	18	13	1	4	+18	+11.0	40
4	Club Brugge	18	11	4	3	+31	+31.9	37
5	Antwerp	20	10	7	3	+28	+20.4	37
6	Mechelen	20	9	5	6	+5	-0.3	32
7	Genk	17	8	6	3	+19	+22.5	30
8	Gent	17	7	6	4	+7	+8.4	27
9	Westerlo	19	5	5	9	-6	-7.2	20
10	Standard	18	4	7	7	-8	-10.3	19
11	St Truiden	18	4	6	8	-16	-10.9	18
12	Charleroi	22	4	6	12	-17	-13.7	18
13	RWD Molenbeek	22	4	6	12	-28	-29.0	18
14	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	19	3	6	10	-12	-6.4	15
15	Kortrijk	23	3	4	16	-35	-23.4	13
16	Eupen	22	3	2	17	-33	-27.3	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	St. Gilloise	9	8	1	0	+16	+11.9	25
2	Anderlecht	9	8	1	0	+14	+9.7	25
3	Cercle Brugge	9	7	1	1	+13	+8.2	22
4	Antwerp	10	6	3	1	+21	+16.6	21
5	Club Brugge	9	6	3	0	+19	+17.5	21
6	Mechelen	10	5	4	1	+9	+2.8	19
7	Gent	9	4	4	1	+6	+7.0	16
8	Genk	8	4	3	1	+11	+14.5	15
9	RWD Molenbeek	11	3	4	4	-9	-9.9	13
10	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	10	3	3	4	+2	-2.7	12
11	Westerlo	9	4	0	5	-1	-2.3	12
12	St Truiden	9	3	3	3	-4	-1.2	12
13	Charleroi	11	3	3	5	-6	-0.8	12
14	Standard	9	3	2	4	-1	-2.4	11
15	Kortrijk	12	2	3	7	-11	-7.0	9
16	Eupen	11	2	1	8	-14	-10.9	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	St. Gilloise	10	8	1	1	+11	+10.2	25
2	Cercle Brugge	9	6	0	3	+5	+2.8	18
3	Club Brugge	9	5	1	3	+12	+14.4	16
4	Antwerp	10	4	4	2	+7	+3.8	16
5	Anderlecht	9	4	4	1	+6	+2.5	16
6	Genk	9	4	3	2	+8	+8.1	15
7	Mechelen	10	4	1	5	-4	-3.2	13
8	Gent	8	3	2	3	+1	+1.3	11
9	Westerlo	10	1	5	4	-5	-4.9	8
10	Standard	9	1	5	3	-7	-7.9	8
11	Charleroi	11	1	3	7	-11	-12.9	6
12	St Truiden	9	1	3	5	-12	-9.8	6
13	RWD Molenbeek	11	1	2	8	-19	-19.0	5
14	Eupen	11	1	1	9	-19	-16.4	4
15	Kortrijk	11	1	1	9	-24	-16.5	4
16	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	9	0	3	6	-14	-3.7	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.