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Pro League

Referee: M Allaerts

Charleroi

T S S T U

1–1

Full-time

Cercle Brugge

U U S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Charleroi Cercle Brugge

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

33%

67%

Points per game

1,2

2,3

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

50%

17%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,3

2,0

Scored

0,8

1,5

Conceded

1,5

0,5

Goal diff per game

-0,7

+1,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Pro League · 14/17 matches

Win Ø 39%

43%

35%

Points per game

1,5

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 39%

36%

41%

Both score Ø 33%

36%

29%

Average goals

2,0

2,2

Scored

1,1

0,8

Conceded

0,9

1,4

Goal diff per game

+0,1

-0,6

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

0,69 xG 1,38

50% Possession 50%

7 Shots 12

3 Shots on target 5

1 Blocked shots 1

4 Goalkeeper saves 2

2 Corners 4

5 Offside 1

7 Free kicks against 8

3 Yellow cards 1

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match Charleroi 8. · Cercle Brugge 7. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Genk	15	11	2	2	+14	+15.0	35
2	Club Brugge	14	10	3	1	+22	+14.4	33
3	Antwerp	15	9	5	1	+20	+2.1	32
4	Anderlecht	15	8	5	2	+18	+9.3	29
5	Gent	16	7	6	3	+14	+0.3	27
6	St. Gilloise	14	6	6	2	+7	+10.5	24
7	Cercle Brugge	17	6	4	7	-10	-4.7	22
8	Charleroi	14	6	3	5	+2	+3.0	21
9	Dender	16	5	6	5	-2	-5.9	21
10	Standard	14	6	3	5	-7	-6.5	21
11	St Truiden	19	4	5	10	-19	-7.6	17
12	Mechelen	15	4	3	8	-2	-3.2	15
13	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	15	2	7	6	-5	-0.4	13
14	Westerlo	16	3	3	10	-6	-0.4	12
15	Kortrijk	18	3	1	14	-27	-11.9	10
16	Beerschot VA	17	1	6	10	-19	-14.1	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Genk	8	7	1	0	+13	+9.2	22
2	Gent	8	5	2	1	+14	+3.1	17
3	Club Brugge	6	5	1	0	+16	+10.7	16
4	Antwerp	7	5	1	1	+15	+4.6	16
5	Standard	7	5	1	1	+4	-2.2	16
6	Anderlecht	8	4	3	1	+8	+3.7	15
7	St. Gilloise	6	5	0	1	+7	+10.8	15
8	Cercle Brugge	8	4	2	2	-1	+0.3	14
9	St Truiden	11	3	5	3	-2	+0.6	14
10	Charleroi	7	4	1	2	+4	+4.3	13
11	Westerlo	9	3	2	4	+4	+9.2	11
12	Mechelen	8	3	2	3	+4	+0.8	11
13	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	8	2	5	1	+3	+3.5	11
14	Kortrijk	9	3	0	6	-7	-1.6	9
15	Beerschot VA	8	1	5	2	-1	-3.6	8
16	Dender	7	1	3	3	-1	-2.0	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Club Brugge	8	5	2	1	+6	+3.7	17
2	Antwerp	8	4	4	0	+5	-2.5	16
3	Dender	9	4	3	2	-1	-3.8	15
4	Anderlecht	7	4	2	1	+10	+5.6	14
5	Genk	7	4	1	2	+1	+5.8	13
6	Gent	8	2	4	2	+0	-2.9	10
7	St. Gilloise	8	1	6	1	+0	-0.3	9
8	Charleroi	7	2	2	3	-2	-1.2	8
9	Cercle Brugge	9	2	2	5	-9	-4.9	8
10	Standard	7	1	2	4	-11	-4.4	5
11	Mechelen	7	1	1	5	-6	-4.0	4
12	St Truiden	8	1	0	7	-17	-8.2	3
13	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	7	0	2	5	-8	-3.8	2
14	Westerlo	7	0	1	6	-10	-9.7	1
15	Beerschot VA	9	0	1	8	-18	-10.5	1
16	Kortrijk	9	0	1	8	-20	-10.3	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.