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Pro League
Referee: A Denil
Charleroi
S T T T S
2–1
Full-time
Cercle Brugge
S S S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Charleroi Cercle Brugge
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,0
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,3
2,3
Scored
1,0
1,3
Conceded
2,3
1,0
Goal diff per game
-1,3
+0,3
This season — Pro League · 19/16 matches
Win Ø 43%
42%
44%
Points per game
1,3
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 54%
63%
44%
Both score Ø 60%
63%
56%
Average goals
2,9
2,5
Scored
1,3
1,4
Conceded
1,6
1,1
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

58% Possession 42%
10 Shots 12
6 Shots on target 3
1 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 4
9 Corners 7
2 Offside 1
9 Free kicks against 12
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Charleroi 10. · Cercle Brugge 9.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Genk 17 15 1 1 +32 46
2 St. Gilloise 17 14 2 1 +22 44
3 Antwerp 17 12 2 3 +16 38
4 Club Brugge 17 10 3 4 +15 33
5 St Truiden 21 9 6 6 +3 33
6 Gent 17 10 2 5 +14 32
7 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 21 9 5 7 +9 32
8 Anderlecht 20 8 3 9 +6 27
9 Cercle Brugge 16 7 5 4 +4 26
10 Charleroi 19 8 1 10 -6 25
11 Standard 17 7 3 7 +0 24
12 Westerlo 17 6 4 7 +0 22
13 Mechelen 20 6 4 10 -8 22
14 Eupen 22 7 1 14 -17 22
15 Kortrijk 21 6 3 12 -17 21
16 Waregem 21 5 4 12 -16 19
17 Oostende 22 5 3 14 -23 18
18 Seraing 20 4 3 13 -17 15
19 Seraing United 20 4 3 13 -17 15

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Charleroi Cercle Brugge
27′
C. Vanhoutte 0–1
1–1 I. Mbenza
A. Zorgane
44′
Half-time 1–1
A. Hosseinzadeh 🔁
↦ A. Gholizadeh
46′
2–1 A. Hosseinzadeh
I. Mbenza
51′
71′
🔁 A. Francis
↦ D. Hotić
Y. Badji 🔁
↦ D. Heymans
72′
72′
🔁 Y. Gboho
↦ Leonardo Lopes
A. Descotte 🔁
↦ I. Mbenza
79′
87′
🟨 Charles Vanhoutte
J. Tchatchoua 🔁
↦ K. Nkuba
88′
88′
🔁 J. Marcelin
↦ C. Vanhoutte
Youssouph Badji 🟨
93′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Charleroi

5-3-2
16 H. Koffi G
28 K. Nkuba D
2 J. Bager D
25 D. Marcq D
32 M. Boukamir D
12 J. Kayembe D
18 D. Heymans M
6 A. Zorgane M
26 M. Ilaimaharitra M
8 A. Gholizadeh F
7 I. Mbenza F
Bench (7)
99 A. Hosseinzadeh
10 Y. Badji
15 A. Descotte
38 J. Tchatchoua
21 S. Andreou
44 R. Morioka
1 P. Patron

Coach: F. Mazzù

Cercle Brugge

3-4-1-2
1 R. Majecki G
5 B. Popović D
4 J. Daland D
18 S. Miangué D
34 T. Somers M
22 Leonardo Lopes M
14 C. Vanhoutte M
23 O. Deman M
10 D. Hotić F
36 A. Ueda F
9 K. Denkey F
Bench (7)
17 A. Francis
11 Y. Gboho
24 J. Marcelin
8 R. Decostere
7 E. Kehrer
89 S. Bruzzese
29 L. Torres

Coach: M. Muslić

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,58
U
3,40
B
2,63
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,84
U2,5
1,95
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

A Denil · 23 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,5 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,9 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,29 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.