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Conference League
Referee: M Krogh
Cercle Brugge
T U U T T
2–0
Full-time
Jagiellonia
U T S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Cercle Brugge Jagiellonia
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
0%
67%
Points per game
0,5
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
2,3
2,8
Scored
0,7
1,8
Conceded
1,7
1,0
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+0,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Conference League · 9/9 matches
Win Ø 56%
44%
67%
Points per game
1,6
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 56%
67%
44%
Average goals
4,0
2,9
Scored
2,3
2,1
Conceded
1,7
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+1,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

1,48 xG 0,38
57% Possession 43%
23 Shots 5
7 Shots on target 2
7 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 6
17 Corners 2
1 Offside 3
10 Free kicks against 18
0 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Cercle Brugge Jagiellonia
1–0 H. Van der Bruggen
8′
21′
🟨 Jarosław Kubicki
Half-time 1–0
Erick Nunes 🔁
↦ H. Van der Bruggen
46′
G. Magnée 🔁
↦ Flávio Nazinho
46′
46′
🔁 Tomás Silva
↦ D. Stojinović
2–0 Felipe Augusto
T. Somers
50′
58′
🔁 T. Romanczuk
↦ J. Kubicki
58′
🔁 D. Churlinov
↦ Miki Villar
L. Perrin 🔁
↦ E. Utkus
67′
P. Brunner 🔁
↦ Bruninho
67′
H. Jurado 🔁
↦ I. Diakité
80′
81′
🟨 João Moutinho
88′
🟨 Kristoffer Normann Hansen
89′
🟨 Taras Romanczuk
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Cercle Brugge

3-4-1-2
1 Warleson G
2 I. Diakité D
66 C. Ravych D
3 E. Utkus D
7 M. Efekele M
28 H. Van der Bruggen M
27 N. De Wilde M
20 Flávio Nazinho M
34 T. Somers F
10 Felipe Augusto F
30 Bruninho F
Bench (10)
8 Erick Nunes
15 G. Magnée
5 L. Perrin
13 P. Brunner
23 H. Jurado
40 X. Martlé
86 I. Ben Sadik
84 B. Langenbick
21 M. Delanghe
78 O. Vanackere

Coach: F. Feldhofer

Jagiellonia

4-3-3
50 S. Abramowicz G
3 D. Stojinović D
72 M. Skrzypczak D
23 E. Ebosse D
44 João Moutinho D
11 Jesús Imaz M
14 J. Kubicki M
31 L. Flach M
20 Miki Villar F
10 Afimico Pululu F
99 K. Hansen F
Bench (10)
82 Tomás Silva
6 T. Romanczuk
21 D. Churlinov
1 M. Stryjek
51 A. Rybak
5 C. Polak
86 B. Mazurek
9 L. Diaby-Fadiga
80 O. Pietuszewski
15 N. Wojtuszek

Coach: A. Siemieniec

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

M Krogh · 77 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
23,4 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,14 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.