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Pro League
Referee: L D'hondt
Anderlecht
T S U S T
3–0
Full-time
Cercle Brugge
U U T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Anderlecht Cercle Brugge
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,3
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
2,7
2,3
Scored
1,2
0,8
Conceded
1,5
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Pro League · 19/23 matches
Win Ø 42%
58%
26%
Points per game
2,0
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 43%
47%
39%
Both score Ø 43%
42%
43%
Average goals
2,6
2,2
Scored
1,9
0,8
Conceded
0,7
1,4
Goal diff per game
+1,2
-0,6
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

1,88 xG 1,34
60% Possession 40%
19 Shots 17
7 Shots on target 5
7 Blocked shots 3
6 Goalkeeper saves 4
7 Corners 7
0 Offside 3
9 Free kicks against 19
2 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Anderlecht 4. · Cercle Brugge 8.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Genk 20 15 3 2 +18 +18.4 48
2 Club Brugge 19 12 5 2 +24 +21.3 41
3 St. Gilloise 20 11 6 3 +18 +20.4 39
4 Anderlecht 19 11 5 3 +22 +8.3 38
5 Antwerp 19 10 8 1 +21 +1.5 38
6 Gent 19 8 8 3 +15 +1.0 32
7 Standard 20 7 5 8 -12 -7.2 26
8 Cercle Brugge 23 6 8 9 -13 -4.4 26
9 Dender 20 6 7 7 -5 -9.1 25
10 Charleroi 18 6 6 6 +1 +3.4 24
11 Mechelen 20 5 5 10 -5 -2.7 20
12 Westerlo 19 5 4 10 -3 -0.7 19
13 St Truiden 23 4 7 12 -21 -10.9 19
14 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 19 2 9 8 -8 -4.5 15
15 Beerschot VA 23 2 8 13 -24 -20.0 14
16 Kortrijk 23 4 2 17 -28 -14.7 14

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Anderlecht Cercle Brugge
1–0 L. Vázquez
L. Dendoncker
6′
26′
🟨 Erick Nunes
26′
🟨 Lucas Perrin
Lucas Hey 🟨
29′
34′
🟨 Flávio Nazinho
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 Bruninho
↦ Erick Nunes
55′
ℹ️ Bruno Goncalves De Jesus
VAR: Goal cancelled
61′
🔁 Felipe Augusto
↦ P. Brunner
Jan Vertonghen 🟨
68′
M. Ashimeru 🔁
↦ M. Stroeykens
74′
C. Huerta 🔁
↦ S. Edozie
74′
77′
🟨 Gary Magnee
77′
🔁 S. Ngoura
↦ G. Magnée
77′
🔁 E. Utkus
↦ H. Van der Bruggen
M. N'Diaye 🔁
↦ A. Maamar
80′
T. Hazard 🔁
↦ N. Angulo
80′
84′
🟨 Edgaras Utkus
2–0 Adryelson
C. Huerta
87′
K. Goto 🔁
↦ L. Vázquez
93′
3–0 C. Huerta
M. Ashimeru
96′
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

Anderlecht

4-2-3-1
26 C. Coosemans G
79 A. Maamar D
34 Adryelson D
14 J. Vertonghen D
6 L. Augustinsson D
32 L. Dendoncker M
3 L. Hey M
19 N. Angulo M
29 M. Stroeykens M
27 S. Edozie M
20 L. Vázquez F
Bench (9)
18 M. Ashimeru
21 C. Huerta
5 M. N'Diaye
11 T. Hazard
42 K. Goto
17 T. Leoni
16 M. Kikkenborg
23 M. Rits
4 J. Šimić

Coach: D. Hubert

Cercle Brugge

3-4-1-2
21 M. Delanghe G
2 I. Diakité D
66 C. Ravych D
5 L. Perrin D
15 G. Magnée M
8 Erick Nunes M
28 H. Van der Bruggen M
20 Flávio Nazinho M
6 L. Agyekum F
13 P. Brunner F
34 T. Somers F
Bench (9)
30 Bruninho
10 Felipe Augusto
77 S. Ngoura
3 E. Utkus
90 E. Kakou
27 N. De Wilde
7 M. Efekele
1 Warleson
17 A. Francis

Coach: F. Feldhofer

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,85
U
3,49
B
4,17
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,95
U2,5
1,83
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

L D'hondt · 111 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,5 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,25 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.