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Pro League
Referee: N Laforge
St Truiden
T U U T S
0–3
Full-time
Kortrijk
T T S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

St Truiden Kortrijk
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,8
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
67%
83%
Both score Ø 83%
83%
83%
Average goals
3,0
3,0
Scored
1,3
1,5
Conceded
1,7
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Pro League · 25/25 matches
Win Ø 20%
20%
20%
Points per game
0,9
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 64%
64%
64%
Both score Ø 60%
72%
48%
Average goals
3,2
2,8
Scored
1,2
0,8
Conceded
2,0
1,9
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-1,1
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–3

1,53 xG 0,73
51% Possession 49%
12 Shots 8
5 Shots on target 3
1 Blocked shots 0
0 Goalkeeper saves 5
4 Corners 1
1 Offside 2
14 Free kicks against 14
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match St Truiden 13. · Kortrijk 15.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Genk 21 16 3 2 +22 +21.1 51
2 Club Brugge 22 15 5 2 +29 +26.2 50
3 St. Gilloise 22 13 6 3 +25 +24.0 45
4 Anderlecht 21 12 5 4 +23 +7.0 41
5 Antwerp 21 10 8 3 +16 -1.2 38
6 Gent 22 8 8 6 +7 -4.0 32
7 Cercle Brugge 26 7 9 10 -15 -2.3 30
8 Dender 22 7 7 8 -7 -11.9 28
9 Standard 21 7 6 8 -12 -7.3 27
10 Charleroi 20 6 7 7 -1 +2.6 25
11 Mechelen 22 6 6 10 -2 +0.7 24
12 Westerlo 22 6 5 11 -3 -1.5 23
13 St Truiden 25 5 7 13 -21 -9.4 22
14 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 22 3 11 8 -7 -3.9 20
15 Kortrijk 25 5 3 17 -27 -15.4 18
16 Beerschot VA 26 2 8 16 -27 -24.5 14

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

St Truiden Kortrijk
Joel Chima Fujita 🟨
16′
17′
A. Kadri 0–1
22′
Nacho Ferri 0–2
A. Kadri
27′
N. Mehssatou 0–3
J. Duverne
A. Ferrari 🔁
↦ B. Godeau
32′
R. Van Helden 🔁
↦ W. Janssens
32′
Half-time 0–3
46′
🔁 B. Lagae
↦ H. Fujii
61′
🔁 E. De Vlaeminck
↦ L. Pirard
64′
🟨 Jean-Kevin Duverne
Léo Kokubo 🟨
66′
73′
🟨 Brecht Dejaegere
K. Zahiroleslam 🔁
↦ L. Lapoussin
73′
75′
🔁 K. Kostons
↦ T. Ambrose
75′
🔁 D. Karim
↦ B. Dejaegere
R. Vanwesemael 🔁
↦ R. Ogawa
76′
S. Juklerød 🔁
↦ L. Patris
76′
87′
🔁 K. Czubak
↦ A. Kadri
Robert-Jan Vanwesemael 🟨
91′
Full-time 0–3

Line-ups

St Truiden

3-4-2-1
16 L. Kokubo G
22 W. Janssens D
26 V. Musliu D
31 B. Godeau D
19 L. Patris M
8 J. Fujita M
13 R. Ito M
2 R. Ogawa M
7 B. Brahimi F
94 L. Lapoussin F
91 A. Bertaccini F
Bench (9)
9 A. Ferrari
20 R. Van Helden
15 K. Zahiroleslam
60 R. Vanwesemael
18 S. Juklerød
12 J. Coppens
14 O. Dumont
6 R. Yamamoto
32 J. Mbalanda

Coach: F. Mazzù

Kortrijk

3-4-3
95 L. Pirard G
27 A. Sissako D
24 H. Fujii D
33 R. Tsunoda D
93 J. Duverne M
23 M. Ilaimaharitra M
16 B. Dejaegere M
6 N. Mehssatou M
19 Nacho Ferri F
10 A. Kadri F
68 T. Ambrose F
Bench (9)
26 B. Lagae
13 E. De Vlaeminck
18 K. Kostons
8 D. Karim
9 K. Czubak
32 Mouhamed Guèye II
17 M. Bruno
11 D. De Neve
20 G. Dewaele

Coach: B. Storck

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,91
U
3,56
B ✓
3,83
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,80
U2,5
1,98
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

N Laforge · 128 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,5 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,26 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.