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Premier League

Referee: Anthony Taylor

Crystal Palace

T T T S S

1–0

Full-time

Watford

T T U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Crystal Palace Watford

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

33%

17%

Points per game

1,2

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

33%

67%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

2,2

2,7

Scored

0,8

1,2

Conceded

1,3

1,5

Goal diff per game

-0,5

-0,3

This season — Premier League · 28/28 matches

Win Ø 27%

32%

21%

Points per game

1,3

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 40%

29%

50%

Both score Ø 41%

43%

39%

Average goals

2,0

2,5

Scored

0,9

1,0

Conceded

1,1

1,5

Goal diff per game

-0,3

-0,6

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

44% Possession 56%

10 Shots 10

3 Shots on target 4

4 Blocked shots 5

3 Goalkeeper saves 2

8 Corners 8

2 Offside 1

12 Free kicks against 19

4 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Crystal Palace 12. · Watford 17. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Liverpool	29	27	1	1	+45	82
2	Man City	27	18	3	6	+39	57
3	Leicester	28	15	5	8	+26	50
4	Chelsea	28	13	6	9	+8	45
5	Man United	28	11	9	8	+12	42
6	Wolves	28	10	12	6	+7	42
7	Tottenham	28	11	7	10	+7	40
8	Sheffield United	27	10	10	7	+4	40
9	Burnley	28	11	5	12	-6	38
10	Arsenal	27	8	13	6	+3	37
11	Everton	28	10	7	11	-5	37
12	Crystal Palace	28	9	9	10	-7	36
13	Southampton	28	10	4	14	-16	34
14	Newcastle	28	8	8	12	-17	32
15	Brighton	28	6	10	12	-8	28
16	West Ham	28	7	6	15	-14	27
17	Watford	28	6	9	13	-16	27
18	Bournemouth	29	7	6	16	-18	27
19	Aston Villa	27	7	4	16	-18	25
20	Norwich	28	5	6	17	-26	21

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Liverpool	15	15	0	0	+28	45
2	Man City	13	9	2	2	+21	29
3	Leicester	14	8	3	3	+11	27
4	Man United	14	7	5	2	+15	26
5	Tottenham	14	8	2	4	+12	26
6	Everton	14	7	4	3	+4	25
7	Arsenal	14	6	5	3	+5	23
8	Burnley	14	7	1	6	+1	22
9	Wolves	14	5	6	3	+4	21
10	Chelsea	14	6	3	5	+3	21
11	Sheffield United	14	6	3	5	+3	21
12	Newcastle	14	5	6	3	+0	21
13	Crystal Palace	14	5	4	5	-2	19
14	Brighton	14	4	6	4	+2	18
15	Watford	14	4	5	5	-1	17
16	Bournemouth	14	4	5	5	-4	17
17	Aston Villa	13	5	2	6	-6	17
18	West Ham	14	4	3	7	-3	15
19	Norwich	14	4	3	7	-7	15
20	Southampton	14	4	2	8	-14	14

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Liverpool	14	12	1	1	+17	37
2	Man City	14	9	1	4	+18	28
3	Chelsea	14	7	3	4	+5	24
4	Leicester	14	7	2	5	+15	23
5	Wolves	14	5	6	3	+3	21
6	Southampton	14	6	2	6	-2	20
7	Sheffield United	13	4	7	2	+1	19
8	Crystal Palace	14	4	5	5	-5	17
9	Man United	14	4	4	6	-3	16
10	Burnley	14	4	4	6	-7	16
11	Arsenal	13	2	8	3	-2	14
12	Tottenham	14	3	5	6	-5	14
13	Everton	14	3	3	8	-9	12
14	West Ham	14	3	3	8	-11	12
15	Newcastle	14	3	2	9	-17	11
16	Brighton	14	2	4	8	-10	10
17	Bournemouth	15	3	1	11	-14	10
18	Watford	14	2	4	8	-15	10
19	Aston Villa	14	2	2	10	-12	8
20	Norwich	14	1	3	10	-19	6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.