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Pro League

Referee: K Van Damme

Gent

T S S S S

2–0

Full-time

Mechelen

S S U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Gent Mechelen

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

67%

50%

Points per game

2,2

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

2,8

Scored

1,8

1,5

Conceded

1,0

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,8

+0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Pro League · 4/3 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,5

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

2,5

2,3

Scored

1,5

1,0

Conceded

1,0

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,5

-0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

1,79 xG 2,05

49% Possession 51%

22 Shots 12

7 Shots on target 7

4 Blocked shots 2

6 Goalkeeper saves 5

7 Corners 4

1 Offside 3

10 Free kicks against 11

2 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Gent 10. · Mechelen 13. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Charleroi	6	4	0	2	+6	+4.7	12
2	Dender	6	3	2	1	+4	+0.9	11
3	Club Brugge	5	3	1	1	+6	+6.1	10
4	Genk	5	3	1	1	+1	+8.3	10
5	Anderlecht	4	2	2	0	+3	+2.7	8
6	St. Gilloise	5	2	2	1	+2	+2.8	8
7	Standard	4	2	1	1	+1	-2.4	7
8	Westerlo	5	2	1	2	+0	-0.4	7
9	Antwerp	3	2	0	1	+5	+2.3	6
10	Gent	4	2	0	2	+2	-0.3	6
11	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	5	1	3	1	+1	+0.9	6
12	St Truiden	6	1	2	3	-8	-5.2	5
13	Mechelen	3	1	1	1	-1	-2.4	4
14	Kortrijk	5	1	0	4	-7	-1.7	3
15	Cercle Brugge	4	0	1	3	-7	-9.3	1
16	Beerschot VA	6	0	1	5	-8	-7.1	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Charleroi	4	3	0	1	+4	+3.7	9
2	Westerlo	2	2	0	0	+4	+2.7	6
3	St. Gilloise	2	2	0	0	+3	+3.0	6
4	Standard	2	2	0	0	+2	+0.5	6
5	Anderlecht	3	1	2	0	+1	+2.0	5
6	St Truiden	4	1	2	1	-2	-3.4	5
7	Club Brugge	2	1	1	0	+3	+4.0	4
8	Dender	3	1	1	1	+2	+0.5	4
9	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	2	1	1	0	+2	+0.5	4
10	Genk	2	1	1	0	+1	+2.8	4
11	Antwerp	2	1	0	1	+4	+1.2	3
12	Gent	2	1	0	1	+2	+1.6	3
13	Kortrijk	3	1	0	2	-3	-0.4	3
14	Beerschot VA	3	0	1	2	-2	-2.3	1
15	Cercle Brugge	1	0	0	1	-1	-3.7	0
16	Mechelen	1	0	0	1	-2	-0.6	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Dender	3	2	1	0	+2	+0.4	7
2	Club Brugge	3	2	0	1	+3	+2.2	6
3	Genk	3	2	0	1	+0	+5.5	6
4	Mechelen	2	1	1	0	+1	-1.8	4
5	Charleroi	2	1	0	1	+2	+1.0	3
6	Anderlecht	1	1	0	0	+2	+0.6	3
7	Antwerp	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.1	3
8	Gent	2	1	0	1	+0	-1.9	3
9	St. Gilloise	3	0	2	1	-1	-0.2	2
10	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	3	0	2	1	-1	+0.4	2
11	Standard	2	0	1	1	-1	-2.9	1
12	Westerlo	3	0	1	2	-4	-3.1	1
13	Cercle Brugge	3	0	1	2	-6	-5.6	1
14	Kortrijk	2	0	0	2	-4	-1.4	0
15	Beerschot VA	3	0	0	3	-6	-4.8	0
16	St Truiden	2	0	0	2	-6	-1.8	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.