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Pro League
Referee: B Put
Gent
S U S T T
2–0
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Gent Oud-Heverlee Leuven
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
33%
0%
Points per game
1,2
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
2,7
1,8
Scored
1,2
0,7
Conceded
1,5
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,5
This season — Pro League · 20/27 matches
Win Ø 44%
55%
33%
Points per game
1,8
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 57%
55%
59%
Both score Ø 52%
45%
59%
Average goals
2,6
3,0
Scored
1,7
1,6
Conceded
0,9
1,4
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

56% Possession 44%
12 Shots 14
6 Shots on target 4
0 Blocked shots 3
4 Goalkeeper saves 4
5 Corners 9
15 Free kicks against 12
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Gent 8. · Oud-Heverlee Leuven 9.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Genk 23 19 3 1 +42 60
2 St. Gilloise 22 17 3 2 +26 54
3 Antwerp 21 15 3 3 +24 48
4 Anderlecht 26 12 4 10 +11 40
5 Club Brugge 21 11 6 4 +16 39
6 Charleroi 27 11 5 11 +0 38
7 St Truiden 26 10 8 8 -1 38
8 Gent 20 11 3 6 +16 36
9 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 27 9 8 10 +6 35
10 Standard 22 10 3 9 +1 33
11 Cercle Brugge 21 8 8 5 +4 32
12 Kortrijk 27 9 4 14 -15 31
13 Eupen 28 8 4 16 -20 28
14 Westerlo 21 7 6 8 +1 27
15 Mechelen 26 7 6 13 -12 27
16 Waregem 28 6 8 14 -20 26
17 Oostende 28 5 6 17 -29 21
18 Seraing 26 5 4 17 -25 19
19 Seraing United 26 5 4 17 -25 19

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Gent Oud-Heverlee Leuven
Julien De Sart 🟨
26′
Half-time 0–0
M. Fofana 🔁
↦ A. Hjulsager
46′
47′
🟨 Hamza Mendyl
1–0 H. Cuypers
Hong Hyun-Seok
49′
Gift Emmanuel Orban 🟨
59′
L. Depoitre 🔁
↦ G. Orban
67′
68′
🔁 E. Toku
↦ S. Schrijvers
2–0 S. Kums
H. Cuypers
73′
78′
🔁 S. Kiyine
↦ Mousa Al Tamari
79′
🔁 N. Nsingi
↦ J. Þorsteinsson
R. Van Den Bergh 🔁
↦ J. De Sart
92′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Gent

5-3-2
1 P. Nardi G
17 A. Hjulsager D
31 B. Godeau D
5 M. Ngadeu D
23 J. Torunarigha D
25 Núrio Fortuna D
13 J. De Sart M
7 Hong Hyun-Seok M
24 S. Kums M
11 H. Cuypers F
20 G. Orban F
Bench (7)
19 M. Fofana
29 L. Depoitre
27 R. Van Den Bergh
10 J. Hauge
33 D. Roef
12 N. De Ridder
38 L. Henry

Coach: H. Vanhaezebrouck

Oud-Heverlee Leuven

3-4-1-2
12 V. Cojocaru G
25 L. Patris D
28 E. Pletinckx D
15 D. Ouédraogo D
11 Mousa Al Tamari M
8 S. Schrijvers M
6 J. Dom M
20 H. Mendyl M
24 C. De Norre F
9 Mario González F
7 J. Þorsteinsson F
Bench (7)
30 E. Toku
13 S. Kiyine
43 N. Nsingi
77 T. Vlietinck
4 K. Malinov
29 N. Jackers
23 J. Schingtienne

Coach: M. Brys

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,60
U
4,08
B
5,19
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,74
U2,5 ✓
2,07
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

B Put · 107 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,5 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.