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Referee: W De Cremer

Oud-Heverlee Leuven

S S U T U

3–1

Full-time

Genk

T S T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Oud-Heverlee Leuven Genk

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

33%

17%

Points per game

1,3

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

2,2

2,0

Scored

1,0

0,5

Conceded

1,2

1,5

Goal diff per game

-0,2

-1,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Pro League · 1/1 matches

Win Ø 0%

Points per game

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 0%

Both score Ø 0%

Average goals

0,0

Scored

0,0

Conceded

0,0

Goal diff per game

+0,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

1,33 xG 2,42

36% Possession 64%

11 Shots 18

5 Shots on target 7

3 Blocked shots 4

6 Goalkeeper saves 2

2 Corners 10

1 Offside 1

12 Free kicks against 16

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Oud-Heverlee Leuven 10. · Genk 8. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	St. Gilloise	2	1	1	0	+2	+1.7	4
2	Westerlo	1	1	0	0	+3	+1.4	3
3	Gent	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.5	3
4	Anderlecht	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.0	3
5	Antwerp	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.1	3
6	Club Brugge	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.4	1
7	Mechelen	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.4	1
8	Genk	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.7	1
9	Standard	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.7	1
10	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.4	1
11	Dender	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.4	1
12	Beerschot VA	2	0	1	1	-2	-1.7	1
13	Kortrijk	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.5	0
14	St Truiden	1	0	0	1	-1	-1.0	0
15	Charleroi	1	0	0	1	-1	-1.1	0
16	Cercle Brugge	1	0	0	1	-3	-1.4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Westerlo	1	1	0	0	+3	+1.4	3
2	St. Gilloise	1	1	0	0	+2	+1.3	3
3	Anderlecht	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.0	3
4	Club Brugge	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.4	1
5	Genk	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.7	1
6	Beerschot VA	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.4	1
7	Dender	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.4	1
8	Kortrijk	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.5	0
9	Charleroi	1	0	0	1	-1	-1.1	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Gent	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.5	3
2	Antwerp	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.1	3
3	Mechelen	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.4	1
4	Standard	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.7	1
5	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.4	1
6	St. Gilloise	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.4	1
7	St Truiden	1	0	0	1	-1	-1.0	0
8	Beerschot VA	1	0	0	1	-2	-1.3	0
9	Cercle Brugge	1	0	0	1	-3	-1.4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.