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Pro League
Referee: B Van Driessche
1–1
Full-time
Cercle Brugge
U T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Oud-Heverlee Leuven Cercle Brugge
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,5
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
67%
17%
Average goals
2,0
1,7
Scored
1,2
0,5
Conceded
0,8
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Pro League · 3/1 matches
Win Ø 17%
33%
0%
Points per game
1,7
0,0
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
33%
100%
Both score Ø 34%
67%
0%
Average goals
2,0
3,0
Scored
1,3
0,0
Conceded
0,7
3,0
Goal diff per game
+0,7
-3,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

2,18 xG 0,60
53% Possession 47%
12 Shots 11
6 Shots on target 5
2 Blocked shots 5
5 Goalkeeper saves 5
6 Corners 4
3 Offside 0
11 Free kicks against 13
3 Yellow cards 2
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Dender 4 2 2 0 +4 -0.5 8
2 Anderlecht 3 2 1 0 +3 +2.4 7
3 St. Gilloise 4 2 1 1 +2 +2.0 7
4 Antwerp 2 2 0 0 +6 +1.9 6
5 Westerlo 2 2 0 0 +4 +2.7 6
6 Charleroi 4 2 0 2 +2 +1.4 6
7 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 3 1 2 0 +2 -1.4 5
8 Standard 2 1 1 0 +1 -2.0 4
9 Genk 3 1 1 1 -1 +3.4 4
10 Gent 3 1 0 2 -1 -1.9 3
11 Club Brugge 2 0 1 1 -1 +1.6 1
12 Mechelen 2 0 1 1 -2 -2.0 1
13 Beerschot VA 3 0 1 2 -3 -2.4 1
14 St Truiden 4 0 1 3 -9 -3.6 1
15 Kortrijk 2 0 0 2 -4 -0.2 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Oud-Heverlee Leuven Cercle Brugge
16′
K. Denkey 0–1
Bruninho
Siebe Schrijvers 🟨
22′
34′
🔁 J. Lietaert
↦ T. Somers
1–1 Y. Maziz
K. N’Dri
37′
Half-time 1–1
M. Biron 🔁
↦ M. Maertens
55′
J. Þorsteinsson 🔁
↦ S. Schrijvers
55′
Óscar Gil 🟥
62′
F. Ricca 🔁
↦ Y. Maziz
65′
65′
🔁 P. Brunner
↦ Bruninho
65′
🔁 A. Minda
↦ K. Olaigbe
Birger Verstraete 🟨
74′
Takahiro Akimoto 🟨
75′
C. Ikwuemesi 🔁
↦ M. Biron
78′
T. Vlietinck 🔁
↦ K. N’Dri
79′
84′
🔁 Erick Nunes
↦ L. Agyekum
84′
🔁 G. Magnée
↦ Flávio Nazinho
88′
🟨 Senna Miangue
90′
🟨 Abdoul Kader Ouattara
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Oud-Heverlee Leuven

4-3-3
1 T. Leysen G
27 Óscar Gil D
23 J. Schingtienne D
28 E. Pletinckx D
30 T. Akimoto D
8 S. Schrijvers M
4 B. Verstraete M
6 E. Banzuzi M
33 M. Maertens F
15 K. N’Dri F
10 Y. Maziz F
Bench (9)
22 M. Biron
7 J. Þorsteinsson
14 F. Ricca
19 C. Ikwuemesi
77 T. Vlietinck
20 H. Mendyl
3 A. Tsoungui
21 W. Balikwisha
61 O. Jochmans

Coach: Óscar García

Cercle Brugge

4-2-3-1
1 Warleson G
34 T. Somers D
66 C. Ravych D
18 S. Miangué D
20 Flávio Nazinho D
17 A. Francis M
6 L. Agyekum M
99 A. Ouattara M
30 Bruninho M
19 K. Olaigbe M
9 K. Denkey F
Bench (9)
76 J. Lietaert
13 P. Brunner
11 A. Minda
8 Erick Nunes
15 G. Magnée
21 M. Delanghe
10 Felipe Augusto
2 I. Diakité
27 N. De Wilde

Coach: M. Muslić

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,81
U ✓
3,36
B
2,46
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,86
U2,5 ✓
1,93
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

B Van Driessche · 123 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,4 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
21,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.