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Pro League
Referee: M Allaerts
1–1
Full-time
Kortrijk
T T S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Oud-Heverlee Leuven Kortrijk
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
1,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 58%
83%
33%
Average goals
2,3
2,8
Scored
1,2
1,0
Conceded
1,2
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Pro League · 5/5 matches
Win Ø 20%
20%
20%
Points per game
1,2
0,6
Over 2.5 Ø 40%
40%
40%
Both score Ø 50%
80%
20%
Average goals
2,2
2,2
Scored
1,2
0,4
Conceded
1,0
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-1,4
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,26 xG 0,69
63% Possession 37%
16 Shots 9
2 Shots on target 2
4 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 1
10 Corners 3
1 Offside 1
17 Free kicks against 11
3 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Oud-Heverlee Leuven 12. · Kortrijk 14.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Charleroi 7 4 1 2 +6 +4.7 13
2 Genk 6 4 1 1 +5 +10.2 13
3 Dender 7 3 2 2 +0 -1.0 11
4 Club Brugge 5 3 1 1 +6 +6.1 10
5 Antwerp 4 3 0 1 +6 +1.4 9
6 Gent 5 3 0 2 +4 -0.6 9
7 Anderlecht 5 2 3 0 +3 +2.8 9
8 St. Gilloise 6 2 3 1 +2 +4.3 9
9 Standard 5 2 2 1 +1 -3.9 8
10 Westerlo 6 2 1 3 -1 +0.5 7
11 Mechelen 5 2 1 2 -1 -1.3 7
12 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 5 1 3 1 +1 +0.9 6
13 St Truiden 6 1 2 3 -8 -5.2 5
14 Kortrijk 5 1 0 4 -7 -1.7 3
15 Beerschot VA 6 0 1 5 -8 -7.1 1
16 Cercle Brugge 5 0 1 4 -9 -10.0 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Oud-Heverlee Leuven Kortrijk
Youssef Maziz 🟨
24′
Óscar Gil 🟨
31′
32′
🟨 João Silva
39′
🟨 Tomoki Takamine
Half-time 0–0
50′
🔁 N. Mehssatou
↦ T. Takamine
51′
🔁 R. Šimić
↦ Nacho Ferri
57′
D. De Neve 0–1
59′
🔁 T. Kaneko
↦ G. Dewaele
T. Vlietinck 🔁
↦ Óscar Gil
60′
C. Ikwuemesi 🔁
↦ S. Mitrović
60′
1–1 K. N’Dri
B. Verstraete
62′
W. Balikwisha 🔁
↦ Y. Maziz
69′
S. Schrijvers 🔁
↦ M. Maertens
69′
76′
🔁 R. Alebiosu
↦ B. Dejaegere
76′
🔁 M. El Idrissy
↦ T. Ambrose
M. Biron 🔁
↦ K. N’Dri
81′
Federico Ricca 🟨
87′
87′
🟨 Mounaim El Idrissy
91′
🟨 Roko Šimić
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Oud-Heverlee Leuven

4-2-3-1
1 T. Leysen G
27 Óscar Gil D
5 T. Ominami D
14 F. Ricca D
30 T. Akimoto D
4 B. Verstraete M
6 E. Banzuzi M
11 K. N’Dri M
10 Y. Maziz M
23 S. Mitrović M
33 M. Maertens F
Bench (9)
77 T. Vlietinck
19 C. Ikwuemesi
21 W. Balikwisha
8 S. Schrijvers
7 M. Biron
25 M. Osifo
58 H. Kuruçay
61 O. Jochmans
20 H. Mendyl

Coach: Óscar García

Kortrijk

3-5-2
31 P. Gunnarsson G
4 M. Mampassi D
44 João Silva D
26 B. Lagae D
20 G. Dewaele M
16 B. Dejaegere M
23 T. Takamine M
10 A. Kadri M
11 D. De Neve M
19 Nacho Ferri F
68 T. Ambrose F
Bench (9)
6 N. Mehssatou
21 R. Šimić
30 T. Kaneko
2 R. Alebiosu
7 M. El Idrissy
17 M. Bruno
14 I. Fossum
27 A. Sissako
95 L. Pirard

Coach: F. Alexandersson

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,81
U ✓
3,58
B
4,31
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,95
U2,5 ✓
1,84
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

M Allaerts · 25 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,9 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,10 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.