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Super League
Referee: L Fähndrich
Sion
S T S T U
0–0
Full-time
Lugano
U U T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sion Lugano
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,7
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 75%
50%
100%
Average goals
2,7
4,3
Scored
1,7
1,8
Conceded
1,0
2,5
Goal diff per game
+0,7
-0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Super League · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
1,7
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 75%
50%
100%
Average goals
2,7
3,3
Scored
1,7
2,0
Conceded
1,0
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

0,94 xG 0,65
32% Possession 68%
8 Shots 14
1 Shots on target 0
3 Blocked shots 5
0 Goalkeeper saves 1
1 Corners 6
11 Free kicks against 14
0 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Sion 7. · Lugano 3.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Zurich 6 4 2 0 +8 +0.4 14
2 Luzern 7 4 2 1 +5 +0.5 14
3 Lugano 6 4 1 1 +4 +0.4 13
4 Servette 7 4 1 2 -3 -2.9 13
5 Basel 7 3 1 3 +7 +3.9 10
6 St. Gallen 6 3 1 2 +4 -0.1 10
7 Sion 6 3 1 2 +4 +2.9 10
8 Lausanne 7 2 1 4 -5 +3.2 7
9 Grasshoppers 7 1 2 4 -4 +2.5 5
10 Yverdon 7 1 2 4 -6 -3.2 5
11 Winterthur 6 1 1 4 -7 -4.7 4
12 Young Boys 6 0 3 3 -7 -3.0 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sion Lugano
36′
🟨 Anto Grgić
Half-time 0–0
49′
🟨 Albian Hajdari
D. Sorgić 🔁
↦ D. Djokic
60′
T. Berdayes 🔁
↦ A. Miranchuk
60′
61′
🔁 Daniel Dos Santos
↦ M. Bottani
61′
🔁 O. Doumbia
↦ M. Hadj Mahmoud
66′
🟨 Yanis Cimignani
69′
🔁 R. Macek
↦ Y. Cimignani
C. Souza 🔁
↦ T. Bouchlarhem
73′
M. Bouriga 🔁
↦ I. Chouaref
82′
93′
🟨 Roman Macek
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Sion

4-2-3-1
16 T. Fayulu G
14 N. Lavanchy D
5 N. Sow D
2 J. Schmied D
20 N. Hefti D
88 A. Kabacalman M
8 Baltazar Costa M
11 T. Bouchlarhem M
10 A. Miranchuk M
7 I. Chouaref M
19 D. Djokic F
Bench (9)
9 D. Sorgić
29 T. Berdayes
52 C. Souza
99 M. Bouriga
1 H. Lindner
3 R. Ziegler
17 J. Kronig
21 L. Chipperfield
6 Marquinhos Cipriano

Coach: D. Tholot

Lugano

4-3-3
1 A. Saipi G
46 M. Zanotti D
6 A. Papadopoulos D
5 A. Hajdari D
26 Martim Marques D
29 M. Hadj Mahmoud M
8 A. Grgic M
25 U. Bislimi M
21 Y. Cimignani F
10 M. Bottani F
31 I. Aliseda F
Bench (8)
27 Daniel Dos Santos
20 O. Doumbia
7 R. Macek
2 Z. Brault-Guillard
22 A. El Wafi
28 Y. Ryter
58 S. Osigwe
17 L. Mai

Coach: M. Croci-Torti

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U ✓
B
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

L Fähndrich · 128 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.