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Eredivisie
Referee: A Lindhout
For Sittard
S S T T T
1–3
Full-time
PSV Eindhoven
S S S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

For Sittard PSV Eindhoven
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 58%
33%
83%
Points per game
1,2
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 34%
0%
67%
Average goals
2,3
4,5
Scored
0,8
3,5
Conceded
1,5
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+2,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Eredivisie · 5/5 matches
Win Ø 70%
40%
100%
Points per game
1,2
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 70%
60%
80%
Both score Ø 30%
0%
60%
Average goals
2,8
4,6
Scored
1,0
4,0
Conceded
1,8
0,6
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+3,4
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

0,60 xG 1,85
28% Possession 72%
8 Shots 14
4 Shots on target 7
3 Blocked shots 2
4 Goalkeeper saves 3
5 Corners 6
2 Offside 3
11 Free kicks against 10
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match For Sittard 13. · PSV Eindhoven 1.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 PSV Eindhoven 5 5 0 0 +17 +10.2 15
2 AZ Alkmaar 5 4 1 0 +6 +4.4 13
3 Utrecht 5 4 1 0 +4 +0.7 13
4 Twente 6 3 2 1 +7 +7.2 11
5 Feyenoord 5 2 3 0 +6 +6.2 9
6 Groningen 6 2 3 1 +3 -0.8 9
7 Sparta Rotterdam 6 2 3 1 +1 -1.7 9
8 Willem II 6 2 2 2 +3 -2.0 8
9 Ajax 4 2 1 1 +5 +4.1 7
10 Heerenveen 5 2 1 2 +2 +0.5 7
11 Go Ahead Eagles 6 2 1 3 -4 +0.7 7
12 Nijmegen 6 2 0 4 -1 -3.6 6
13 For Sittard 5 2 0 3 -4 -1.6 6
14 Heracles 6 1 3 2 -4 -1.5 6
15 NAC Breda 6 2 0 4 -8 -5.6 6
16 Zwolle 6 1 1 4 -4 -4.3 4
17 Almere City 6 0 2 4 -15 -5.7 2
18 Waalwijk 6 0 0 6 -14 -7.2 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

For Sittard PSV Eindhoven
Rosier Loreintz 🟨
7′
16′
M. Tillman 0–1
1–1 E. Bullaude
A. Halilović
32′
Half-time 1–1
46′
🔁 I. Saibari
↦ J. Veerman
A. Erceg 🔁
↦ M. Aïko
63′
65′
🔁 N. Lang
↦ G. Til
65′
🔁 R. Karsdorp
↦ Mauro Júnior
68′
M. Tillman 1–2
Ante Erceg 🟨
70′
72′
L. de Jong 1–3
S. Bastien 🔁
↦ E. Bullaude
77′
D. Grujčić 🔁
↦ J. Mitrović
77′
78′
🟨 Malik Tillman
Shawn Adewoye 🟨
79′
80′
🔁 C. Driouech
↦ J. Bakayoko
80′
🔁 R. Pepi
↦ L. de Jong
H. Korkmazyürek 🔁
↦ R. Fosso
89′
T. Schenkhuizen 🔁
↦ A. Halilović
89′
Full-time 1–3

Line-ups

For Sittard

4-3-3
31 M. Branderhorst G
12 Ivo Pinto D
6 S. van Ottele D
4 S. Adewoye D
8 J. Dahlhaus D
28 J. Mitrović M
80 R. Fosso M
32 L. Rosier M
10 A. Halilović F
11 M. Aïko F
33 E. Bullaude F
Bench (8)
50 A. Erceg
22 S. Bastien
5 D. Grujčić
39 H. Korkmazyürek
38 T. Schenkhuizen
1 L. Koopmans
71 R. Bayram
77 L. Tunjić

Coach: D. Buijs

PSV Eindhoven

4-3-3
1 W. Benítez G
17 Mauro Júnior D
6 R. Flamingo D
18 O. Boscagli D
32 M. Dams D
22 J. Schouten M
20 G. Til M
23 J. Veerman M
11 J. Bakayoko F
9 L. de Jong F
7 M. Tillman F
Bench (11)
34 I. Saibari
10 N. Lang
2 R. Karsdorp
21 C. Driouech
14 R. Pepi
24 N. Schiks
16 J. Drommel
33 M. Bresser
26 I. Babadi
4 A. Obispo
5 I. Perišić

Coach: P. Bosz

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
10,98
U
6,59
B ✓
1,22
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,39
U2,5
2,86
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

A Lindhout · 161 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
20,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,12 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.