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Bundesliga
Referee: M Hameter
Sturm Graz
S S S S T
0–3
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sturm Graz Wolfsberger AC
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
67%
50%
Points per game
2,0
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
50%
83%
Average goals
2,8
4,2
Scored
1,8
2,5
Conceded
1,0
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+0,8
This season — Bundesliga · 5/6 matches
Win Ø 65%
80%
50%
Points per game
2,4
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 54%
40%
67%
Both score Ø 62%
40%
83%
Average goals
2,8
4,2
Scored
2,0
2,5
Conceded
0,8
1,7
Goal diff per game
+1,2
+0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

61% Possession 39%
11 Shots 4
4 Shots on target 3
2 Blocked shots 0
0 Goalkeeper saves 4
7 Corners 8
1 Offside 1
15 Free kicks against 13
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Sturm Graz 2. · Wolfsberger AC 4.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 BW Linz 7 4 1 2 +0 13
2 Sturm Graz 5 4 0 1 +6 12
3 SK Rapid 6 3 2 1 +1 11
4 Wolfsberger AC 6 3 1 2 +5 10
5 Salzburg 4 3 0 1 +5 9
6 Austria Vienna 5 2 2 1 +2 8
7 Altach 7 2 2 3 +0 8
8 A. Klagenfurt 6 2 2 2 -2 8
9 LASK 7 2 0 5 -5 6
10 Tirol 5 1 1 3 -4 4
11 Grazer AK 7 0 4 3 -5 4
12 Hartberg 5 0 3 2 -3 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sturm Graz Wolfsberger AC
20′
T. Ballo 0–1
Emir Karić 🟨
41′
Half-time 0–1
M. Yalcouyé 🔁
↦ L. Zvonarek
46′
N. Geyrhofer 🔁
↦ E. Karić
46′
61′
🔁 E. Kojzek
↦ M. Pink
E. Yardımcı 🔁
↦ S. Jatta
65′
72′
D. Atanga 0–2
A. Jašić
74′
🔁 C. Nwaiwu
↦ D. Zukić
L. Grgić 🔁
↦ M. Biereth
75′
Dimitri Lavalėe 🟨
77′
T. Chukwuani 🔁
↦ J. Gorenc Stankovič
79′
84′
🔁 A. Gattermayer
↦ T. Ballo
84′
🔁 E. Agyemang
↦ D. Atanga
Jusuf Gazibegović 🟨
89′
92′
🟨 Chibuike Nwaiwu
94′
E. Kojzek 0–3
A. Gattermayer
Full-time 0–3

Line-ups

Sturm Graz

4-3-1-2
1 K. Scherpen G
22 J. Gazibegović D
47 E. Aiwu D
24 D. Lavalée D
17 E. Karić D
19 T. Horvat M
4 J. Gorenc Stankovič M
10 O. Kiteishvili M
14 L. Zvonarek M
20 S. Jatta F
18 M. Biereth F
Bench (7)
8 M. Yalcouyé
35 N. Geyrhofer
9 E. Yardımcı
38 L. Grgić
21 T. Chukwuani
53 D. Khudyakov
15 W. Bøving

Coach: C. Ilzer

Wolfsberger AC

4-2-3-1
12 N. Polster G
97 A. Jašić D
22 D. Baumgartner D
37 N. Wimmer D
31 M. Ullmann D
19 S. Altunashvili M
8 S. Piesinger M
17 D. Atanga M
20 D. Zukić M
11 T. Ballo M
32 M. Pink F
Bench (7)
47 E. Kojzek
27 C. Nwaiwu
7 A. Gattermayer
34 E. Agyemang
5 M. Diabaté
10 T. Sabitzer
1 L. Gütlbauer

Coach: D. Kühbauer

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U
B ✓
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

M Hameter · 86 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,5 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
27,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,30 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.