Gamealyst.com

← Match Finder

Serie A

Referee: M Marcenaro

Fiorentina

U U U U T

2–1

Full-time

Lazio

U S T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

Team trends

Fiorentina Lazio

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

0,8

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 92%

83%

100%

Average goals

3,2

3,0

Scored

1,5

1,7

Conceded

1,7

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Serie A · 4/4 matches

Win Ø 25%

50%

Points per game

0,8

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

50%

100%

Both score Ø 88%

75%

100%

Average goals

2,8

3,5

Scored

1,3

2,0

Conceded

1,5

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+0,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

2,78 xG 1,05

46% Possession 54%

14 Shots 20

5 Shots on target 6

0 Blocked shots 7

5 Goalkeeper saves 3

3 Corners 10

0 Offside 1

11 Free kicks against 15

3 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Fiorentina 15. · Lazio 7. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Torino	5	3	2	0	+3	-1.1	11
2	Napoli	5	3	1	1	+5	+2.3	10
3	Udinese	4	3	1	0	+3	-1.6	10
4	Juventus	5	2	3	0	+6	+2.2	9
5	Empoli	5	2	3	0	+3	-1.4	9
6	Inter	4	2	2	0	+6	+3.4	8
7	Lazio	4	2	1	1	+2	+3.4	7
8	Verona	5	2	0	3	+0	-2.0	6
9	Atalanta	4	2	0	2	+0	+0.7	6
10	Milan	4	1	2	1	+3	+2.6	5
11	Parma	5	1	2	2	-1	-0.8	5
12	Genoa	5	1	2	2	-3	-1.7	5
13	Lecce	5	1	2	2	-5	-1.9	5
14	Venezia	5	1	1	3	-5	-3.1	4
15	Fiorentina	4	0	3	1	-1	+1.3	3
16	Monza	4	0	3	1	-1	-3.6	3
17	Roma	4	0	3	1	-1	+0.1	3
18	Bologna	4	0	3	1	-3	+0.9	3
19	Como	4	0	2	2	-4	+0.4	2
20	Cagliari	5	0	2	3	-7	+0.0	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Lazio	3	2	1	0	+3	+2.9	7
2	Inter	2	2	0	0	+6	+2.1	6
3	Napoli	2	2	0	0	+4	+2.3	6
4	Udinese	2	2	0	0	+2	-1.2	6
5	Juventus	3	1	2	0	+3	+1.1	5
6	Milan	2	1	1	0	+4	+3.1	4
7	Torino	2	1	1	0	+1	-1.9	4
8	Parma	3	1	1	1	+0	-1.0	4
9	Lecce	3	1	1	1	-3	-0.9	4
10	Atalanta	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.3	3
11	Venezia	2	1	0	1	+1	+1.0	3
12	Verona	3	1	0	2	-1	-1.6	3
13	Fiorentina	2	0	2	0	+0	+2.0	2
14	Bologna	2	0	2	0	+0	+2.7	2
15	Empoli	2	0	2	0	+0	-0.3	2
16	Genoa	3	0	2	1	-2	-0.8	2
17	Cagliari	4	0	2	2	-6	-0.1	2
18	Como	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.0	1
19	Monza	2	0	1	1	-1	-1.7	1
20	Roma	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.7	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Empoli	3	2	1	0	+3	-1.2	7
2	Torino	3	2	1	0	+2	+0.9	7
3	Juventus	2	1	1	0	+3	+1.1	4
4	Udinese	2	1	1	0	+1	-0.4	4
5	Napoli	3	1	1	1	+1	+0.0	4
6	Verona	2	1	0	1	+1	-0.4	3
7	Roma	3	0	3	0	+0	+0.8	3
8	Atalanta	3	1	0	2	-1	+1.0	3
9	Genoa	2	1	0	1	-1	-0.9	3
10	Inter	2	0	2	0	+0	+1.3	2
11	Monza	2	0	2	0	+0	-1.9	2
12	Fiorentina	2	0	1	1	-1	-0.8	1
13	Milan	2	0	1	1	-1	-0.6	1
14	Parma	2	0	1	1	-1	+0.2	1
15	Lecce	2	0	1	1	-2	-1.0	1
16	Bologna	2	0	1	1	-3	-1.8	1
17	Como	3	0	1	2	-4	+0.4	1
18	Venezia	3	0	1	2	-6	-4.0	1
19	Lazio	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.5	0
20	Cagliari	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.2	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.