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Conference League
Referee: R Valikonis
Gent
U U S U T
5–0
Full-time
Breidablik
S S S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Gent Breidablik
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,5
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
17%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
1,8
2,8
Scored
1,0
1,2
Conceded
0,8
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Conference League · 8/4 matches
Win Ø 63%
75%
50%
Points per game
2,4
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 44%
63%
25%
Both score Ø 44%
63%
25%
Average goals
3,8
2,0
Scored
2,9
1,0
Conceded
0,9
1,0
Goal diff per game
+2,0
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 4–0

2,57 xG 1,30
58% Possession 42%
17 Shots 12
11 Shots on target 5
0 Blocked shots 4
5 Goalkeeper saves 6
3 Corners 3
2 Offside 2
8 Free kicks against 7
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Gent Breidablik
1–0 O. Gandelman
S. Kums
10′
2–0 H. Cuypers
15′
3–0 H. Cuypers
T. Tissoudali
19′
41′
🟨 Damir Muminović
4–0 T. Tissoudali
43′
Half-time 4–0
N. Fadiga 🔁
↦ M. Samoise
57′
Hong Hyun-Seok 🔁
↦ S. Kums
57′
P. Gerkens 🔁
↦ H. Cuypers
57′
G. Orban 🔁
↦ J. Torunarigha
57′
60′
🔁 A. Yeoman
↦ O. Sigurjónsson
67′
🔁 K. Steindórsson
↦ K. Olsen
5–0 G. Orban
Hong Hyun-Seok
69′
74′
🟨 Viktor Orn Margeirsson
M. Fernandez-Pardo 🔁
↦ B. Agbor
74′
84′
🔁 Á. Hlynsson
↦ D. Ingvarsson
Full-time 5–0

Line-ups

Gent

3-4-3
33 D. Roef G
21 B. Agbor D
4 T. Watanabe D
23 J. Torunarigha D
18 M. Samoise M
6 O. Gandelman M
24 S. Kums M
3 A. Brown M
10 T. Tissoudali F
11 H. Cuypers F
19 M. Fofana F
Bench (9)
22 N. Fadiga
7 Hong Hyun-Seok
8 P. Gerkens
20 G. Orban
28 M. Fernandez-Pardo
30 C. De Schrevel
26 L. Fortin
13 J. De Sart
17 A. Hjulsager

Coach: H. Vanhaezebrouck

Breidablik

5-4-1
1 A. Einarsson G
7 H. Gunnlaugsson D
4 D. Muminović D
21 V. Margeirsson D
13 A. Lúðvíksson D
25 D. Ingvarsson D
14 J. Svanþórsson M
8 V. Einarsson M
3 O. Sigurjónsson M
11 G. Eyjólfsson M
20 K. Olsen F
Bench (10)
30 A. Yeoman
10 K. Steindórsson
22 Á. Hlynsson
12 B. Bragason
18 E. Wöhler
23 K. Kristinsson
16 D. Fjeldsted
26 Á. Orrason
5 A. Aðalsteinsson
28 O. Stefánsson

Coach: H. Árnason

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.