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Pro League

Referee: J Lardot

Charleroi

U T T S S

1–3

Full-time

Gent

S U T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Charleroi Gent

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,2

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

83%

33%

Both score Ø 67%

83%

50%

Average goals

3,8

2,8

Scored

1,8

2,0

Conceded

2,0

0,8

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+1,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Pro League · 9/7 matches

Win Ø 27%

11%

43%

Points per game

0,8

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 44%

44%

43%

Both score Ø 75%

78%

71%

Average goals

2,9

2,4

Scored

1,1

1,3

Conceded

1,8

1,1

Goal diff per game

-0,7

+0,1

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

0,76 xG 2,75

48% Possession 52%

11 Shots 17

3 Shots on target 9

1 Blocked shots 4

6 Goalkeeper saves 2

0 Corners 6

4 Offside 1

5 Free kicks against 4

3 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Charleroi 14. · Gent 9. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	St. Gilloise	8	7	0	1	+13	+9.6	21
2	Cercle Brugge	9	7	0	2	+9	+8.0	21
3	Anderlecht	8	6	1	1	+10	+3.3	19
4	Club Brugge	9	4	2	3	+11	+13.3	14
5	Antwerp	8	3	4	1	+11	+7.1	13
6	Genk	8	3	4	1	+10	+9.3	13
7	RWD Molenbeek	11	3	4	4	-9	-7.7	13
8	Standard	8	3	3	2	+2	-6.2	12
9	Gent	7	3	3	1	+1	+1.0	12
10	St Truiden	9	2	4	3	-5	-4.7	10
11	Mechelen	8	2	2	4	-4	-4.5	8
12	Kortrijk	10	2	2	6	-13	-3.5	8
13	Eupen	11	2	2	7	-14	-16.2	8
14	Charleroi	9	1	4	4	-6	-4.2	7
15	Westerlo	9	1	3	5	-7	-5.9	6
16	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	8	1	2	5	-9	+1.0	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Anderlecht	4	4	0	0	+8	+2.5	12
2	Cercle Brugge	4	4	0	0	+6	+3.9	12
3	Gent	4	3	1	0	+3	+0.5	10
4	St. Gilloise	3	3	0	0	+9	+4.4	9
5	Antwerp	4	2	2	0	+9	+7.0	8
6	Club Brugge	4	2	2	0	+8	+6.5	8
7	Kortrijk	6	2	2	2	-2	-2.2	8
8	RWD Molenbeek	6	2	2	2	-3	-4.5	8
9	Mechelen	4	2	1	1	+3	-1.4	7
10	Standard	5	2	1	2	+0	-4.6	7
11	Genk	5	1	3	1	+3	+4.7	6
12	Charleroi	4	1	3	0	+1	+2.2	6
13	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	3	1	1	1	+2	-0.0	4
14	St Truiden	5	1	1	3	-6	-2.9	4
15	Eupen	5	1	1	3	-7	-5.7	4
16	Westerlo	4	1	0	3	-5	-4.6	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	St. Gilloise	5	4	0	1	+4	+5.1	12
2	Cercle Brugge	5	3	0	2	+3	+4.2	9
3	Genk	3	2	1	0	+7	+4.6	7
4	Anderlecht	4	2	1	1	+2	+0.8	7
5	Club Brugge	5	2	0	3	+3	+6.7	6
6	St Truiden	4	1	3	0	+1	-1.7	6
7	Antwerp	4	1	2	1	+2	+0.2	5
8	Standard	3	1	2	0	+2	-1.6	5
9	RWD Molenbeek	5	1	2	2	-6	-3.2	5
10	Eupen	6	1	1	4	-7	-10.5	4
11	Westerlo	5	0	3	2	-2	-1.3	3
12	Gent	3	0	2	1	-2	+0.5	2
13	Charleroi	5	0	1	4	-7	-6.4	1
14	Mechelen	4	0	1	3	-7	-3.1	1
15	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	5	0	1	4	-11	+1.0	1
16	Kortrijk	4	0	0	4	-11	-1.3	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.