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Pro League
Referee: J Boterberg
Genk
S U S U U
2–1
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Genk Oud-Heverlee Leuven
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,7
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
67%
17%
Both score Ø 58%
83%
33%
Average goals
3,3
2,2
Scored
2,0
1,0
Conceded
1,3
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,7
-0,2
This season — Pro League · 26/32 matches
Win Ø 56%
77%
34%
Points per game
2,5
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 61%
69%
53%
Both score Ø 57%
58%
56%
Average goals
3,3
3,0
Scored
2,5
1,6
Conceded
0,8
1,4
Goal diff per game
+1,7
+0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

59% Possession 41%
22 Shots 11
8 Shots on target 5
7 Blocked shots 1
4 Goalkeeper saves 6
11 Corners 5
5 Offside 0
10 Free kicks against 9
4 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Genk 1. · Oud-Heverlee Leuven 10.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Genk 26 20 5 1 +45 65
2 Antwerp 27 19 4 4 +34 61
3 St. Gilloise 25 19 3 3 +26 60
4 Gent 27 17 3 7 +34 54
5 Charleroi 32 15 5 12 +3 50
6 Anderlecht 31 14 6 11 +14 48
7 Club Brugge 25 13 6 6 +16 45
8 St Truiden 32 12 9 11 -2 45
9 Cercle Brugge 27 11 10 6 +8 43
10 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 32 11 9 12 +5 42
11 Westerlo 26 11 6 9 +6 39
12 Standard 26 11 5 10 +1 38
13 Mechelen 31 10 6 15 -13 36
14 Kortrijk 33 10 6 17 -19 36
15 Eupen 32 8 6 18 -24 30
16 Waregem 33 6 10 17 -28 28
17 Oostende 33 6 7 20 -32 25
18 Seraing 31 5 4 22 -37 19
19 Seraing United 31 5 4 22 -37 19

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Genk Oud-Heverlee Leuven
Bryan Heynen 🟨
19′
1–0 B. Heynen
23′
41′
🟨 Jón Dagur Þórsteinsson
Half-time 1–0
A. Preciado 🔁
↦ D. Muñoz
46′
Mark McKenzie 🟨
54′
56′
J. Þorsteinsson 1–1
Joseph Paintsil 🟨
60′
61′
🟨 Federico Ricca
Y. Sor 🔁
↦ M. Samatta
66′
76′
🔁 T. Vlietinck
↦ Mario González
Patrik Hrošovský 🟨
77′
A. Ait El Hadj 🔁
↦ B. El Khannouss
81′
82′
🔁 J. Dom
↦ M. Maertens
2–1 M. Trésor
87′
88′
🔁 D. Ouédraogo
↦ S. Schrijvers
A. Ouattara 🔁
↦ M. Trésor
91′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Genk

4-3-3
26 M. Vandevoordt G
23 D. Muñoz D
46 C. Cuesta D
2 M. McKenzie D
5 G. Arteaga D
8 B. Heynen M
34 B. El Khannouss M
17 P. Hrošovský M
28 J. Paintsil F
7 M. Samatta F
11 M. Trésor F
Bench (7)
77 A. Preciado
14 Y. Sor
19 A. Ait El Hadj
4 A. Ouattara
40 T. Leysen
10 N. Castro
3 Mujaid Sadick

Coach: W. Vrancken

Oud-Heverlee Leuven

4-2-3-1
12 V. Cojocaru G
25 L. Patris D
28 E. Pletinckx D
14 F. Ricca D
20 H. Mendyl D
24 C. De Norre M
8 S. Schrijvers M
11 Mousa Al Tamari M
33 M. Maertens M
7 J. Þorsteinsson M
9 Mario González F
Bench (7)
77 T. Vlietinck
6 J. Dom
15 D. Ouédraogo
23 J. Schingtienne
29 N. Jackers
21 N. Opoku
4 K. Malinov

Coach: M. Brys

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,50
U
4,46
B
5,78
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,54
U2,5
2,40
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

J Boterberg · 112 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,21 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.