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Pro League
Referee: B Put
2–1
Full-time
Genk
U S S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Oud-Heverlee Leuven Genk
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
67%
50%
Points per game
2,2
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,5
3,5
Scored
2,5
2,3
Conceded
1,0
1,2
Goal diff per game
+1,5
+1,2
This season — Pro League · 26/20 matches
Win Ø 41%
31%
50%
Points per game
1,3
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 65%
65%
65%
Both score Ø 69%
73%
65%
Average goals
3,2
3,6
Scored
1,5
2,3
Conceded
1,6
1,4
Goal diff per game
-0,1
+0,9
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

57% Possession 43%
22 Shots 12
6 Shots on target 7
8 Blocked shots 1
6 Goalkeeper saves 4
4 Corners 3
3 Offside 0
18 Free kicks against 8
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Oud-Heverlee Leuven 11. · Genk 9.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 St. Gilloise 22 18 2 2 +41 56
2 Anderlecht 23 14 7 2 +38 49
3 Antwerp 23 14 4 5 +18 46
4 Club Brugge 22 13 5 4 +15 44
5 Charleroi 23 12 6 5 +14 42
6 Kortrijk 28 10 10 8 +3 40
7 Cercle Brugge 28 11 5 12 +6 38
8 Mechelen 23 11 2 10 -4 35
9 Genk 20 10 4 6 +18 34
10 St Truiden 28 10 4 14 -8 34
11 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 26 8 9 9 -2 33
12 Standard 26 8 8 10 -10 32
13 Gent 21 8 7 6 +7 31
14 Oostende 27 9 4 14 -21 31
15 Eupen 28 7 7 14 -14 28
16 Waregem 27 6 8 13 -22 26
17 Seraing 26 7 2 17 -26 23
18 Seraing United 26 7 2 17 -26 23
19 Beerschot VA 27 4 4 19 -27 16

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Oud-Heverlee Leuven Genk
1–0 S. Kaba
M. Maertens
1′
14′
🟥 Bryan Heynen
Mandela Keita 🟨
18′
19′
Mujaid Sadick 1–1
M. Trésor
Half-time 1–1
Mousa Al-Tamari 🔁
↦ L. Shengelia
46′
46′
🔁 G. Arteaga
↦ J. Ito
46′
🔁 P. Hrošovský
↦ M. Trésor
60′
🟨 Theo Bongonda
A. De Sart 🔁
↦ M. Keita
66′
72′
🔁 J. Paintsil
↦ P. Onuachu
K. Rezaei 🔁
↦ S. Schrijvers
80′
81′
🔁 L. Oyen
↦ T. Bongonda
83′
🔁 C. Cuesta
↦ Á. Preciado
Casper De Norre ℹ️
VAR: Penalty awarded
90′
90′
🟨 Carlos Cuesta
91′
🟨 Jhon Lucumi
2–1 S. Kaba
93′
P. Ngawa 🔁
↦ S. Chakla
95′
Kaveh Rezaei 🟨
96′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Oud-Heverlee Leuven

3-4-1-2
13 R. Rúnarsson G
6 S. Dewaest D
24 C. De Norre M
3 S. Chakla D
35 C. Özkaçar D
10 X. Mercier F
33 M. Maertens F
27 M. Keita M
8 S. Schrijvers M
19 L. Shengelia M
9 S. Kaba F
Bench (7)
11 Mousa Al-Tamari
21 A. De Sart
99 K. Rezaei
5 P. Ngawa
25 L. Patris
90 R. Romo
4 K. Malinov

Coach: M. Brys

Genk

4-3-3
26 M. Vandevoordt G
6 S. Juklerød D
33 J. Lucumí D
77 Á. Preciado D
3 Mujaid Sadick D
8 B. Heynen M
11 M. Trésor M
42 K. Thorstvedt M
18 P. Onuachu F
10 T. Bongonda F
7 J. Ito F
Bench (7)
5 G. Arteaga
17 P. Hrošovský
28 J. Paintsil
24 L. Oyen
46 C. Cuesta
40 T. Leysen
2 M. McKenzie

Coach: B. Storck

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
3,65
U
3,84
B
1,88
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,58
U2,5
2,33
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

B Put · 107 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,5 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.