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Pro League
Referee: N Verboomen
St Truiden
S U T S U
0–3
Full-time
Gent
S T T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

St Truiden Gent
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,8
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
17%
50%
Both score Ø 34%
50%
17%
Average goals
2,5
2,5
Scored
1,7
1,3
Conceded
0,8
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+0,2
This season — Pro League · 22/18 matches
Win Ø 49%
41%
56%
Points per game
1,5
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 46%
41%
50%
Both score Ø 45%
45%
44%
Average goals
2,1
2,4
Scored
1,1
1,6
Conceded
1,0
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,1
+0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

26% Possession 74%
5 Shots 13
1 Shots on target 4
1 Blocked shots 3
1 Goalkeeper saves 1
1 Corners 5
1 Offside 3
12 Free kicks against 10
2 Yellow cards 0
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match St Truiden 5. · Gent 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Genk 18 16 1 1 +33 49
2 St. Gilloise 19 15 3 1 +23 48
3 Antwerp 19 14 2 3 +22 44
4 Club Brugge 19 10 5 4 +15 35
5 St Truiden 22 9 7 6 +3 34
6 Gent 18 10 3 5 +14 33
7 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 23 9 6 8 +8 33
8 Anderlecht 23 10 3 10 +7 33
9 Cercle Brugge 19 8 6 5 +4 30
10 Charleroi 22 9 3 10 -5 30
11 Standard 19 8 3 8 -1 27
12 Kortrijk 24 8 3 13 -16 27
13 Mechelen 22 7 4 11 -9 25
14 Westerlo 19 6 5 8 -1 23
15 Waregem 23 6 5 12 -15 23
16 Eupen 23 7 2 14 -17 23
17 Oostende 24 5 3 16 -27 18
18 Seraing 22 4 3 15 -19 15
19 Seraing United 22 4 3 15 -19 15

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

St Truiden Gent
Daiki Hashioka ℹ️
VAR: Card upgrade
15′
Aboubakary Koita 🟥
16′
34′
I. Salah 0–1
E. Bocat 🔁
↦ D. Hayashi
36′
37′
🔁 A. Castro-Montes
↦ A. Hjulsager
44′
H. Cuypers 0–2
Hong Hyun-Seok
Half-time 0–3
55′
H. Cuypers 0–3
64′
🔁 J. Hauge
↦ K. Piątkowski
81′
🔁 M. Fofana
↦ I. Salah
81′
🔁 L. Depoitre
↦ J. Torunarigha
F. Kaya 🔁
↦ S. Okazaki
86′
Wolke Janssens 🟨
87′
S. Van Dessel 🔁
↦ O. Dumont
87′
Stan Van Dessel 🟨
88′
Full-time 0–3

Line-ups

St Truiden

3-4-1-2
21 D. Schmidt G
22 W. Janssens D
26 Jorge Teixeira D
20 R. Bauer D
4 D. Hashioka M
27 F. Boya M
14 O. Dumont M
7 A. Koita M
13 R. Reitz F
30 S. Okazaki F
8 D. Hayashi F
Bench (7)
77 E. Bocat
11 F. Kaya
19 S. Van Dessel
10 S. Kagawa
16 M. Smets
32 A. Librici
12 J. Coppens

Coach: B. Hollerbach

Gent

4-3-3
1 P. Nardi G
4 K. Piątkowski D
2 J. Okumu D
5 M. Ngadeu D
23 J. Torunarigha D
13 J. De Sart M
7 Hong Hyun-Seok M
24 S. Kums M
17 A. Hjulsager F
11 H. Cuypers F
16 I. Salah F
Bench (7)
14 A. Castro-Montes
10 J. Hauge
19 M. Fofana
29 L. Depoitre
9 D. Lemajić
22 S. Marreh
33 D. Roef

Coach: H. Vanhaezebrouck

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,37
U
3,33
B ✓
2,14
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,08
U2,5
1,73
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

N Verboomen · 117 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,1 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,28 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.