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Pro League
Referee: L Visser
Eupen
T U S S T
0–2
Full-time
St Truiden
T S S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Eupen St Truiden
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,7
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
50%
17%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
3,3
2,2
Scored
1,7
1,3
Conceded
1,7
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,5
This season — Pro League · 21/20 matches
Win Ø 37%
33%
40%
Points per game
1,0
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 54%
62%
45%
Both score Ø 51%
57%
45%
Average goals
3,4
2,2
Scored
1,3
1,1
Conceded
2,0
1,1
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

53% Possession 47%
7 Shots 10
3 Shots on target 4
2 Blocked shots 3
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
3 Corners 3
3 Offside 1
9 Free kicks against 9
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Eupen 13. · St Truiden 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 St. Gilloise 17 14 2 1 +22 44
2 Genk 16 14 1 1 +31 43
3 Antwerp 17 12 2 3 +16 38
4 Club Brugge 16 10 2 4 +15 32
5 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 21 9 5 7 +9 32
6 St Truiden 20 8 6 6 +1 30
7 Gent 16 9 2 5 +13 29
8 Anderlecht 19 8 2 9 +6 26
9 Cercle Brugge 16 7 5 4 +4 26
10 Charleroi 19 8 1 10 -6 25
11 Standard 17 7 3 7 +0 24
12 Westerlo 17 6 4 7 +0 22
13 Eupen 21 7 1 13 -15 22
14 Kortrijk 20 6 3 11 -16 21
15 Mechelen 19 5 4 10 -9 19
16 Waregem 20 5 4 11 -15 19
17 Oostende 21 5 3 13 -22 18
18 Seraing 20 4 3 13 -17 15
19 Seraing United 20 4 3 13 -17 15

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Eupen St Truiden
44′
G. Bruno 0–1
A. Koita
Half-time 0–1
I. Nuhu 🔁
↦ I. Christie-Davies
60′
N. Bitumazala 🔁
↦ S. Prevljak
61′
I. Diakité 🔁
↦ Y. Van Genechten
61′
62′
🟨 Toni Leistner
68′
J. Davidson 1–1
own goal
Stef Peeters 🟨
80′
J. Déom 🔁
↦ J. Davidson
82′
T. Alloh 🔁
↦ R. Charles-Cook
82′
86′
🔁 F. Kaya
↦ G. Bruno
91′
🔁 S. Van Dessel
↦ D. Hayashi
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Eupen

3-5-2
1 L. Moser G
35 B. Lambert D
28 R. Paeshuyse D
3 J. Davidson D
2 Y. Van Genechten M
15 G. Magnée M
8 S. Peeters M
23 I. Christie-Davies M
10 R. Charles-Cook M
11 K. N’Dri F
9 S. Prevljak F
Bench (7)
7 I. Nuhu
17 N. Bitumazala
27 I. Diakité
14 J. Déom
29 T. Alloh
25 D. Gassama
33 A. Nurudeen

Coach: E. Still

St Truiden

3-4-1-2
21 D. Schmidt G
22 W. Janssens D
37 T. Leistner D
20 R. Bauer D
4 D. Hashioka M
27 F. Boya M
14 O. Dumont M
7 A. Koita M
30 S. Okazaki F
91 G. Bruno F
8 D. Hayashi F
Bench (7)
11 F. Kaya
19 S. Van Dessel
12 J. Coppens
16 M. Smets
32 A. Librici
26 Jorge Teixeira
77 E. Bocat

Coach: B. Hollerbach

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,95
U
3,32
B ✓
2,37
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,98
U2,5 ✓
1,82
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

L Visser · 132 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,4 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,34 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.