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Pro League
Referee: E Lambrechts
Kortrijk
U U U T T
1–3
Full-time
St Truiden
T S S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Kortrijk St Truiden
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
1,0
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
17%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,2
2,5
Scored
1,0
1,5
Conceded
1,2
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,5
This season — Pro League · 27/27 matches
Win Ø 35%
37%
33%
Points per game
1,5
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 41%
30%
52%
Both score Ø 54%
48%
59%
Average goals
2,3
2,5
Scored
1,3
1,1
Conceded
1,1
1,4
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

74% Possession 26%
12 Shots 11
3 Shots on target 4
2 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
6 Corners 2
3 Offside 0
18 Free kicks against 18
3 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Kortrijk 6. · St Truiden 11.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 St. Gilloise 22 18 2 2 +41 56
2 Anderlecht 22 13 7 2 +35 46
3 Antwerp 23 14 4 5 +18 46
4 Club Brugge 21 13 5 3 +16 44
5 Charleroi 23 12 6 5 +14 42
6 Kortrijk 27 10 10 7 +5 40
7 Cercle Brugge 27 11 4 12 +6 37
8 Mechelen 22 10 2 10 -5 32
9 Genk 19 9 4 6 +16 31
10 Standard 25 8 7 10 -10 31
11 St Truiden 27 9 4 14 -10 31
12 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 25 7 9 9 -4 30
13 Oostende 25 9 3 13 -19 30
14 Gent 20 7 7 6 +6 28
15 Eupen 27 7 7 13 -11 28
16 Waregem 25 6 7 12 -20 25
17 Seraing 26 7 2 17 -26 23
18 Seraing United 26 7 2 17 -26 23
19 Beerschot VA 26 4 4 18 -26 16

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Kortrijk St Truiden
11′
A. Koita 0–1
C. Brüls
Sambou Sissoko 🟨
18′
Kristof D'Haene 🟨
23′
25′
🟨 Taichi Hara
33′
🟨 Dimitri Lavalėe
Tsuyoshi Watanabe 🟨
38′
39′
C. Brüls 0–2
Half-time 0–2
56′
🟨 Mory Konate
1–2 A. Kadri
M. Badamosi
61′
A. Benchaib 🔁
↦ A. Palaversa
63′
73′
🔁 R. Reitz
↦ C. Brüls
78′
🔁 A. Al Dakhil
↦ A. Koita
J. Herrmann 🔁
↦ D. Mbayo
81′
85′
🔁 João Klauss
↦ D. Lavalée
86′
D. Hayashi 1–3
D. Henen 🔁
↦ M. Badamosi
89′
M. Moreno 🔁
↦ A. Kadri
89′
M. Jonckheere 🔁
↦ S. Sissoko
89′
92′
🟨 João Klauss
Full-time 1–3

Line-ups

Kortrijk

4-2-3-1
28 J. Delle G
5 T. Sainsbury D
30 K. D'Haene D
2 B. Reynolds D
4 T. Watanabe D
8 A. Palaversa M
14 S. Sissoko M
18 A. Kadri M
10 F. Selemani M
7 D. Mbayo M
19 M. Badamosi F
Bench (7)
11 A. Benchaib
39 J. Herrmann
77 D. Henen
29 M. Moreno
27 M. Jonckheere
16 M. Deman
25 N. Mehssatou

Coach: K. Belhocine

St Truiden

3-4-1-2
21 D. Schmidt G
26 Jorge Teixeira D
37 T. Leistner D
20 R. Bauer D
27 D. Lavalée M
4 D. Hashioka M
44 C. Brüls F
6 M. Konaté M
14 A. Koita M
18 T. Hara F
15 D. Hayashi F
Bench (7)
8 R. Reitz
3 A. Al Dakhil
9 João Klauss
10 S. Kagawa
22 W. Janssens
31 A. Russo
85 A. Dony

Coach: B. Hollerbach

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,31
U
3,41
B ✓
2,97
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,96
U2,5
1,82
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

E Lambrechts · 128 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,9 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.