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Championship
Referee: K Stroud
Norwich
U T T S S
0–3
Full-time
Burnley
S S S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Norwich Burnley
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 58%
33%
83%
Points per game
1,2
2,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,8
2,3
Scored
1,7
1,7
Conceded
1,2
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+1,0
This season — Championship · 28/28 matches
Win Ø 54%
43%
64%
Points per game
1,5
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
57%
61%
Average goals
2,5
2,9
Scored
1,4
2,0
Conceded
1,1
0,9
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

52% Possession 48%
8 Shots 13
1 Shots on target 6
4 Blocked shots 4
3 Goalkeeper saves 1
5 Corners 3
1 Offside 2
15 Free kicks against 15
5 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Norwich 8. · Burnley 1.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Burnley 28 18 8 2 +29 62
2 Sheffield United 28 17 6 5 +24 57
3 Middlesbrough 28 13 6 9 +10 45
4 West Brom 29 12 8 9 +9 44
5 Luton 27 12 8 7 +7 44
6 Watford 29 12 8 9 +3 44
7 Blackburn 28 14 1 13 -4 43
8 Norwich 28 12 6 10 +9 42
9 Millwall 27 12 6 9 +6 42
10 Sunderland 27 11 7 9 +9 40
11 Preston 28 11 7 10 -5 40
12 Swansea 28 10 9 9 +2 39
13 QPR 29 10 8 11 -6 38
14 Hull 29 10 7 12 -8 37
15 Reading 28 11 4 13 -11 37
16 Coventry 28 9 8 11 -2 35
17 Bristol City 28 8 9 11 -1 33
18 Stoke 28 9 6 13 -4 33
19 Birmingham 28 8 8 12 -5 32
20 Rotherham 28 7 10 11 -7 31
21 Cardiff 29 7 8 14 -11 29
22 Huddersfield 27 7 5 15 -10 26
23 Blackpool 27 6 8 13 -12 26
24 Wigan 28 6 7 15 -22 25

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Norwich Burnley
8′
A. Zaroury 0–1
Dimitrios Giannoulis 🟨
12′
Andrew Omobamidele 🟨
16′
29′
🟨 Josh Brownhill
40′
🟨 Ashley Barnes
Kieran Dowell 🟨
42′
45′
🟨 Connor Roberts
Half-time 0–1
54′
🔁 Vitinho
↦ N. Tella
54′
Vitinho 0–2
J. Guðmunds­son
60′
H. Ekdal 0–3
I. Maatsen
M. Núñez 🔁
↦ O. Hernández
61′
A. Idah 🔁
↦ J. Sargent
61′
C. Tzolis 🔁
↦ K. Dowell
72′
73′
🔁 L. Foster
↦ J. Guðmunds­son
79′
🔁 C. Taylor
↦ H. Ekdal
Marcelino Núñez 🟨
83′
Adam Idah 🟨
86′
Full-time 0–3

Line-ups

Norwich

4-3-1-2
1 T. Krul G
2 M. Aarons D
4 A. Omobamidele D
5 G. Hanley D
30 D. Giannoulis D
10 K. Dowell M
23 K. McLean M
25 O. Hernández M
17 Gabriel Sara M
24 J. Sargent F
22 T. Pukki F
Bench (7)
26 M. Núñez
11 A. Idah
18 C. Tzolis
33 M. McGovern
15 S. McCallum
13 Marquinhos
19 J. Sørensen

Coach: D. Wagner

Burnley

4-2-3-1
15 B. Peacock-Farrell G
14 C. Roberts D
18 H. Ekdal D
36 J. Beyer D
29 I. Maatsen D
24 J. Cullen M
8 J. Brownhill M
7 J. Guðmunds­son M
10 A. Barnes M
19 A. Zaroury M
23 N. Tella F
Bench (7)
22 Vitinho
12 L. Foster
3 C. Taylor
26 S. Bastien
11 S. Twine
27 D. Churlinov
40 C. Casper

Coach: V. Kompany

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,53
U
3,35
B ✓
2,76
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,98
U2,5
1,83
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

K Stroud · 147 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
23,8 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,10 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.