Primeira Liga
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Santa Clara
Boavista
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 0–1
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Benfica
|
19 | 16 | 2 | 1 | +36 | 50 |
| 2 |
Porto
|
18 | 13 | 3 | 2 | +32 | 42 |
| 3 |
Sp Braga
|
18 | 13 | 1 | 4 | +21 | 40 |
| 4 |
Sp Lisbon
|
18 | 11 | 2 | 5 | +19 | 35 |
| 5 |
Casa Pia
|
18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | +1 | 30 |
| 6 |
Guimaraes
|
18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | -3 | 27 |
| 7 |
Arouca
|
18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | -6 | 26 |
| 8 |
Vizela
|
18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | +4 | 24 |
| 9 |
Boavista
|
17 | 7 | 3 | 7 | -7 | 24 |
| 10 |
Chaves
|
18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | -6 | 22 |
| 11 |
Rio Ave
|
18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | -5 | 21 |
| 12 |
Famalicao
|
18 | 6 | 3 | 9 | -6 | 21 |
| 13 |
Portimonense
|
18 | 6 | 2 | 10 | -10 | 20 |
| 14 |
Estoril
|
17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | -6 | 19 |
| 15 |
Gil Vicente
|
18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | -8 | 18 |
| 16 |
Santa Clara
|
18 | 3 | 5 | 10 | -11 | 14 |
| 17 |
Maritimo
|
18 | 3 | 4 | 11 | -22 | 13 |
| 18 |
Pacos Ferreira
|
19 | 2 | 3 | 14 | -23 | 9 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Diogo Calila
D
Paulo Henrique
D
Gabriel Silva
M
Coach: Jorge Simão
V. Sasso
D
S. Onyemaechi
D
I. Camará
M
G. Makouta
M
Ricardo Mangas
M
Coach: Petit
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Casa Pia
Santa Clara
Santa Clara
Benfica
Portimonense
Santa Clara
Santa Clara
Sp Braga
Gil Vicente
Santa Clara
Vitor Ferreira · 79 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,31 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.