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Pro League

Referee: A Denil

Mechelen

U T S S T

3–2

Full-time

Kortrijk

S T T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Mechelen Kortrijk

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

50%

67%

Points per game

1,7

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

17%

67%

Both score Ø 50%

33%

67%

Average goals

1,8

3,3

Scored

0,8

1,8

Conceded

1,0

1,5

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+0,3

This season — Pro League · 21/23 matches

Win Ø 32%

29%

35%

Points per game

1,0

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 64%

67%

61%

Both score Ø 59%

57%

61%

Average goals

3,2

2,9

Scored

1,4

1,1

Conceded

1,9

1,8

Goal diff per game

-0,5

-0,7

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

49% Possession 51%

15 Shots 8

8 Shots on target 3

2 Blocked shots 2

1 Goalkeeper saves 4

9 Corners 0

3 Offside 1

14 Free kicks against 15

2 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Mechelen 16. · Kortrijk 12. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Genk	18	16	1	1	+33	49
2	St. Gilloise	18	14	3	1	+22	45
3	Antwerp	18	13	2	3	+19	41
4	Club Brugge	18	10	4	4	+15	34
5	St Truiden	22	9	7	6	+3	34
6	Gent	18	10	3	5	+14	33
7	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	22	9	6	7	+9	33
8	Charleroi	21	9	2	10	-5	29
9	Anderlecht	21	8	3	10	+5	27
10	Cercle Brugge	18	7	6	5	+3	27
11	Standard	18	8	3	7	+2	27
12	Kortrijk	23	8	3	12	-15	27
13	Westerlo	19	6	5	8	-1	23
14	Waregem	23	6	5	12	-15	23
15	Eupen	23	7	2	14	-17	23
16	Mechelen	21	6	4	11	-10	22
17	Oostende	23	5	3	15	-26	18
18	Seraing	21	4	3	14	-18	15
19	Seraing United	21	4	3	14	-18	15

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Genk	10	9	1	0	+18	28
2	Antwerp	9	8	1	0	+15	25
3	Gent	9	6	2	1	+9	20
4	St. Gilloise	7	6	1	0	+9	19
5	Club Brugge	9	5	3	1	+11	18
6	Mechelen	12	5	3	4	+2	18
7	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	11	5	2	4	+6	17
8	Cercle Brugge	9	4	4	1	+7	16
9	Anderlecht	12	5	1	6	+3	16
10	Waregem	12	4	2	6	-9	14
11	Kortrijk	12	4	2	6	-10	14
12	Standard	9	4	1	4	+2	13
13	Charleroi	10	4	1	5	-2	13
14	Westerlo	10	3	3	4	+5	12
15	St Truiden	10	3	3	4	-1	12
16	Oostende	11	4	0	7	-9	12
17	Eupen	11	3	0	8	-9	9
18	Seraing	10	0	2	8	-12	2
19	Seraing United	10	0	2	8	-12	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	St. Gilloise	11	8	2	1	+13	26
2	St Truiden	12	6	4	2	+4	22
3	Genk	8	7	0	1	+15	21
4	Antwerp	9	5	1	3	+4	16
5	Club Brugge	9	5	1	3	+4	16
6	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	11	4	4	3	+3	16
7	Charleroi	11	5	1	5	-3	16
8	Standard	9	4	2	3	+0	14
9	Eupen	12	4	2	6	-8	14
10	Gent	9	4	1	4	+5	13
11	Kortrijk	11	4	1	6	-5	13
12	Seraing	11	4	1	6	-6	13
13	Seraing United	11	4	1	6	-6	13
14	Anderlecht	9	3	2	4	+2	11
15	Cercle Brugge	9	3	2	4	-4	11
16	Westerlo	9	3	2	4	-6	11
17	Waregem	11	2	3	6	-6	9
18	Oostende	12	1	3	8	-17	6
19	Mechelen	9	1	1	7	-12	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.