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Eredivisie
Referee: M Perez
Volendam
T S T U S
1–1
Full-time
AZ Alkmaar
S S S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Volendam AZ Alkmaar
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
1,7
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
50%
83%
Average goals
2,8
4,7
Scored
1,5
3,2
Conceded
1,3
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+1,7
This season — Eredivisie · 19/19 matches
Win Ø 42%
21%
63%
Points per game
0,8
2,1
Over 2.5 Ø 63%
63%
63%
Both score Ø 69%
63%
74%
Average goals
3,5
3,4
Scored
1,2
2,1
Conceded
2,4
1,3
Goal diff per game
-1,2
+0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

34% Possession 66%
9 Shots 13
2 Shots on target 3
4 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 1
2 Corners 6
0 Offside 1
12 Free kicks against 10
1 Yellow cards 3
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Volendam 15. · AZ Alkmaar 2.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Feyenoord 19 12 6 1 +27 42
2 AZ Alkmaar 19 12 4 3 +16 40
3 PSV Eindhoven 19 12 2 5 +24 38
4 Ajax 19 10 7 2 +30 37
5 Twente 17 10 5 2 +20 35
6 Sparta Rotterdam 18 9 6 3 +15 33
7 Utrecht 18 7 6 5 -1 27
8 Waalwijk 19 6 7 6 +0 25
9 Heerenveen 18 6 6 6 -2 24
10 Nijmegen 19 4 11 4 +3 23
11 For Sittard 20 6 5 9 -8 23
12 Go Ahead Eagles 19 4 7 8 -8 19
13 Vitesse 19 4 7 8 -12 19
14 Excelsior 19 6 1 12 -23 19
15 Volendam 19 4 4 11 -23 16
16 FC Emmen 19 3 6 10 -19 15
17 Cambuur 19 3 3 13 -19 12
18 Groningen 19 3 3 13 -20 12

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

30. Oct -22 AZ Alkmaar – Volendam 2–1

Match report

Volendam AZ Alkmaar
26′
🟨 Tijjani Reijnders
Robert Mühren 🟨
36′
Half-time 0–0
61′
🟨 Yukinari Sugawara
1–0 X. Mbuyamba
C. Eiting
62′
F. Antonucci 🔁
↦ R. Mühren
63′
63′
🔁 S. Mijnans
↦ M. van Brederode
73′
🔁 M. Lahdo
↦ W. Goes
Gaetano Oristanio 🟥
76′
Gaetano Oristanio ℹ️
VAR: Card upgrade
76′
83′
J. Odgaard 1–1
O. Buur 🔁
↦ F. Da Silva
84′
90′
🟨 Vangelis Pavlidis
W. Ould-Chikh 🔁
↦ C. Twigt
91′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Volendam

3-4-2-1
1 F. Stanković G
31 X. Mbuyamba D
4 D. Mirani D
28 J. Flint D
3 B. Plat M
17 C. Twigt M
8 C. Eiting M
5 D. Murkin M
10 G. Oristanio F
12 F. Da Silva F
21 R. Mühren F
Bench (12)
19 F. Antonucci
2 O. Buur
33 W. Ould-Chikh
34 I. El Kadiri
15 D. James
6 B. Benamar
9 H. Veerman
24 A. Douiri
11 B. Ould-Chikh
7 D. van Mieghem
22 B. Lauwers
30 F. Klomp

Coach: W. Jonk

AZ Alkmaar

4-2-3-1
1 M. Ryan G
2 Y. Sugawara D
46 W. Goes D
3 P. Hatzidiakos D
5 M. Kerkez D
6 T. Reijnders M
8 J. Clasie M
7 J. Odgaard M
11 J. Karlsson M
19 M. van Brederode M
9 V. Pavlidis F
Bench (8)
16 S. Mijnans
23 M. Lahdo
28 Z. Buurmeester
34 M. de Wit
35 M. Meerdink
32 F. de Jong
12 H. Verhulst
45 R. Owusu-Oduro

Coach: P. Jansen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
5,02
U ✓
4,59
B
1,56
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,48
U2,5 ✓
2,60
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

M Perez · 31 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,6 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
23,4 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,39 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.