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LaLiga2
Referee: Rafael Sánchez
Leganes
S S T U U
1–0
Full-time
Sp Gijon
U T T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Leganes Sp Gijon
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,5
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
33%
17%
Both score Ø 34%
50%
17%
Average goals
1,8
1,8
Scored
1,0
0,7
Conceded
0,8
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,5
This season — LaLiga2 · 25/25 matches
Win Ø 32%
36%
28%
Points per game
1,4
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 36%
44%
28%
Both score Ø 44%
48%
40%
Average goals
1,9
2,0
Scored
1,0
1,0
Conceded
0,9
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,1
+0,0
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

36% Possession 64%
7 Shots 10
3 Shots on target 3
1 Blocked shots 3
3 Goalkeeper saves 2
3 Corners 5
1 Offside 2
17 Free kicks against 16
6 Yellow cards 3
1 Red cards 1
The table before the match Leganes 8. · Sp Gijon 13.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Las Palmas 25 13 9 3 +15 48
2 Eibar 25 13 8 4 +10 47
3 Levante 25 11 11 3 +12 44
4 Alaves 25 12 7 6 +7 43
5 Albacete 25 11 9 5 +6 42
6 Granada 25 12 5 8 +12 41
7 Burgos 25 10 9 6 +7 39
8 Leganes 25 9 8 8 +2 35
9 Cartagena 25 9 7 9 +0 34
10 Villarreal B 25 9 7 9 -2 34
11 Oviedo 26 9 7 10 -3 34
12 Andorra 25 9 5 11 +3 32
13 Sp Gijon 25 7 11 7 -1 32
14 Tenerife 25 7 10 8 -1 31
15 Huesca 25 7 10 8 -2 31
16 Zaragoza 25 7 9 9 -1 30
17 Mirandes 25 7 9 9 -3 30
18 Santander 25 6 8 11 -5 26
19 Ponferradina 25 6 8 11 -9 26
20 Malaga 26 4 10 12 -11 22
21 Lugo 25 5 6 14 -14 21
22 Ibiza 25 4 5 16 -22 17

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Leganes Sp Gijon
-5′
🟥 Jony
1–0 Juan Muñoz
Dani Raba
4′
Gaku Shibasaki ℹ️
VAR: Card upgrade
34′
Gaku Shibasaki 🟥
35′
Allan Nyom 🟨
42′
Jorge Miramón 🟨
43′
Half-time 1–0
Rubén Pardo 🔁
↦ Juan Muñoz
46′
46′
🔁 Cote
↦ Diego Sánchez
53′
🟨 Cristo González
Dani Raba 🟨
58′
58′
🔁 J. Carrillo
↦ Víctor Campuzano
58′
🔁 U. Đurđević
↦ Cristo González
60′
🟨 Pedro Díaz
Rubén Pardo 🟨
64′
70′
🔁 I. Jeraldino
↦ Pablo Ínsua
Fede Vico 🔁
↦ Iker Undabarrena
77′
Y. Neyou 🔁
↦ Dani Raba
77′
Asier Riesgo 🟨
80′
84′
🔁 G. Zarfino
↦ Nacho Martín
85′
🟥 Guille Rosas
86′
🟨 José Ángel
Jon Karrikaburu 🔁
↦ José Arnáiz
89′
Jon Karrikaburu 🟨
92′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Leganes

3-4-3
13 Asier Riesgo G
2 A. Nyom D
3 Jorge Sáenz D
6 Sergio González D
21 Miramón M
20 Iker Undabarrena M
8 G. Shibasaki M
15 Enric Franquesa M
17 Dani Raba F
10 José Arnáiz F
11 Juan Muñoz F
Bench (12)
18 Rubén Pardo
14 Fede Vico
16 Y. Neyou
19 Jon Karrikaburu
5 Josema Sánchez
40 Isma Armenteros
25 Belman
33 Lalo Aguilar
43 Carlos Arauz
1 Dani Jiménez
24 P. Parzyszek
9 Y. Qasmi

Coach: Imanol Idiakez

Sp Gijon

3-4-3
1 Iván Cuéllar G
4 Pablo Ínsua D
24 C. Izquierdoz D
6 José Marsà D
2 Guille Rosas M
8 Pedro Díaz M
33 Nacho Martín M
32 Diego Sánchez M
12 Cristo González F
19 J. Otero F
11 Víctor Campuzano F
Bench (12)
3 Cote
20 J. Carrillo
23 U. Đurđević
14 I. Jeraldino
18 G. Zarfino
13 G. De Amores
29 Jordi Pola
37 J. Varane
22 Pol Valentín
16 Dani Queipo
7 Aitor García
9 Jony

Coach: Miguel Ángel Ramírez

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,19
U
2,96
B
3,71
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,83
U2,5 ✓
1,41
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Rafael Sánchez · 65 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
25,1 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,30 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.