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Serie A
Referee: F Dionisi
Roma
S S S T T
2–0
Full-time
Empoli
U U S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Roma Empoli
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,7
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,5
2,3
Scored
1,5
1,5
Conceded
1,0
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,7
This season — Serie A · 20/20 matches
Win Ø 43%
55%
30%
Points per game
1,9
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 35%
40%
30%
Both score Ø 45%
45%
45%
Average goals
2,2
2,2
Scored
1,3
1,0
Conceded
0,9
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,4
-0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

1,21 xG 1,72
45% Possession 55%
12 Shots 11
6 Shots on target 2
3 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 4
7 Corners 7
3 Offside 0
10 Free kicks against 18
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Roma 7. · Empoli 11.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Napoli 20 17 2 1 +33 +1.2 53
2 Inter 20 13 1 6 +14 +2.0 40
3 Lazio 20 11 5 4 +20 +1.9 38
4 Atalanta 20 11 5 4 +16 +0.1 38
5 Juventus 20 11 5 4 +13 +1.3 38
6 Milan 20 11 5 4 +8 -3.1 38
7 Roma 20 11 4 5 +8 +1.5 37
8 Udinese 20 7 8 5 +6 +1.2 29
9 Torino 20 7 6 7 -1 -0.2 27
10 Bologna 20 7 5 8 -4 +0.5 26
11 Empoli 20 6 8 6 -5 -1.0 26
12 Monza 20 7 4 9 -3 -0.4 25
13 Fiorentina 20 6 6 8 -4 +1.1 24
14 Lecce 21 5 8 8 -3 +1.8 23
15 Salernitana 20 5 6 9 -13 -1.5 21
16 Sassuolo 20 5 5 10 -8 +0.8 20
17 Spezia 20 4 6 10 -15 -2.9 18
18 Verona 20 3 4 13 -14 -1.5 13
19 Sampdoria 20 2 3 15 -26 -1.1 9
20 Cremonese 21 0 8 13 -22 -1.7 8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Roma Empoli
1–0 Ibañez
P. Dybala
2′
2–0 T. Abraham
P. Dybala
6′
Nicola Zalewski 🟨
10′
Half-time 2–0
62′
🔁 R. Piccoli
↦ F. Caputo
62′
🔁 N. Cambiaghi
↦ M. Satriano
E. Bove 🔁
↦ P. Dybala
70′
74′
🔁 L. Henderson
↦ J. Akpa Akpro
Edoardo Bove 🟨
77′
80′
🟨 Liam Henderson
82′
🔁 P. Stojanović
↦ T. Ebuehi
83′
🔁 M. Pjaca
↦ F. Bandinelli
Z. Çelik 🔁
↦ S. El Shaarawy
84′
Diego Llorente 🔁
↦ N. Zalewski
94′
A. Belotti 🔁
↦ L. Pellegrini
95′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Roma

3-4-2-1
1 Rui Patrício G
23 G. Mancini D
6 C. Smalling D
3 Ibañez D
59 N. Zalewski M
4 B. Cristante M
8 N. Matić M
92 S. El Shaarawy M
21 P. Dybala F
7 L. Pellegrini F
9 T. Abraham F
Bench (12)
52 E. Bove
19 Z. Çelik
11 A. Belotti
14 Diego Llorente
74 Oliveras
62 C. Volpato
99 M. Svilar
20 M. Camara
68 B. Tahirovic
18 O. Solbakken
24 M. Kumbulla
63 P. Boer

Coach: José Mourinho

Empoli

4-3-1-2
13 G. Vicario G
24 T. Ebuehi D
6 K. De Winter D
33 S. Luperto D
65 F. Parisi D
11 J. Akpa Akpro M
18 R. Marin M
25 F. Bandinelli M
35 T. Baldanzi M
9 M. Satriano F
19 F. Caputo F
Bench (13)
91 R. Piccoli
28 N. Cambiaghi
8 L. Henderson
30 P. Stojanović
14 M. Pjaca
4 S. Walukiewicz
21 J. Fazzini
55 E. Vignato
1 S. Perisan
32 N. Haas
3 L. Cacace
36 G. Guarino
22 S. Ujkani

Coach: P. Zanetti

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,50
U
4,21
B
7,13
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,98
U2,5 ✓
1,85
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

F Dionisi · 77 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
29,2 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.