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Serie B

Referee: R Abisso

Spal

S T S U T

3–4

Full-time

Bari

U T S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Spal Bari

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,3

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

17%

50%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

1,7

2,5

Scored

0,8

1,5

Conceded

0,8

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+0,5

This season — Serie B · 22/22 matches

Win Ø 30%

23%

36%

Points per game

1,1

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 39%

32%

45%

Both score Ø 48%

45%

50%

Average goals

2,3

2,5

Scored

1,1

1,5

Conceded

1,2

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,1

+0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

62% Possession 38%

24 Shots 9

9 Shots on target 5

6 Blocked shots 0

1 Goalkeeper saves 7

7 Corners 0

1 Offside 1

17 Free kicks against 7

0 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Spal 15. · Bari 5. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Frosinone	22	15	3	4	+21	48
2	Genoa	22	11	7	4	+9	40
3	Reggina	22	12	3	7	+13	39
4	Sudtirol	22	9	8	5	+0	35
5	Bari	22	8	9	5	+12	33
6	Cagliari	23	8	8	7	+1	32
7	Ternana	22	9	5	8	-3	32
8	Pisa	22	7	10	5	+9	31
9	Modena	23	9	4	10	+2	31
10	Palermo	22	8	7	7	-1	31
11	Parma	22	8	6	8	+2	30
12	Ascoli	22	6	8	8	-1	26
13	Como	22	6	8	8	-6	26
14	Brescia	22	6	7	9	-10	25
15	Spal	22	5	9	8	-2	24
16	Cittadella	22	5	9	8	-10	24
17	Benevento	22	5	8	9	-5	23
18	Perugia	22	6	5	11	-8	23
19	Venezia	22	5	6	11	-7	21
20	Cosenza	22	5	6	11	-16	21

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Frosinone	11	9	2	0	+15	29
2	Cagliari	12	7	3	2	+5	24
3	Ternana	11	6	3	2	+4	21
4	Reggina	11	6	2	3	+10	20
5	Parma	11	6	1	4	+5	19
6	Modena	11	5	3	3	+7	18
7	Genoa	11	4	6	1	+4	18
8	Palermo	11	5	3	3	+3	18
9	Sudtirol	12	4	6	2	+1	18
10	Pisa	10	5	2	3	+8	17
11	Como	11	4	4	3	+1	16
12	Brescia	12	4	4	4	-1	16
13	Cosenza	11	4	3	4	+0	15
14	Bari	11	3	5	3	+6	14
15	Spal	11	3	3	5	+1	12
16	Perugia	10	3	3	4	-4	12
17	Cittadella	10	2	5	3	-5	11
18	Ascoli	11	2	4	5	-4	10
19	Benevento	11	2	3	6	-6	9
20	Venezia	12	2	3	7	-7	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Genoa	11	7	1	3	+5	22
2	Frosinone	11	6	1	4	+6	19
3	Bari	11	5	4	2	+6	19
4	Reggina	11	6	1	4	+3	19
5	Sudtirol	10	5	2	3	-1	17
6	Ascoli	11	4	4	3	+3	16
7	Pisa	12	2	8	2	+1	14
8	Benevento	11	3	5	3	+1	14
9	Palermo	11	3	4	4	-4	13
10	Modena	12	4	1	7	-5	13
11	Cittadella	12	3	4	5	-5	13
12	Venezia	10	3	3	4	+0	12
13	Spal	11	2	6	3	-3	12
14	Parma	11	2	5	4	-3	11
15	Perugia	12	3	2	7	-4	11
16	Ternana	11	3	2	6	-7	11
17	Como	11	2	4	5	-7	10
18	Brescia	10	2	3	5	-9	9
19	Cagliari	11	1	5	5	-4	8
20	Cosenza	11	1	3	7	-16	6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.